America's Geothermal Breakthrough (oilprice.com)

115 points by sleepyguy 16 hours ago

WarOnPrivacy 15 hours ago

I worked on geothermal control systems a decade or so back. There are some less obvious applications for geothermal that reduce electric use (as opposed to generating electricity).

The systems I worked on were for cooling larger structures like commercial greenhouses, gov installations and mansions. 64° degree water would be pumped up from 400' down, run thru a series of chillers (for a/c) and then returned underground - about 20° or 25° warmer.

I always thought this method could be used to provide a/c for neighborhoods, operated as a neighborhood utility. I've not seen it done tho. I've seen neighborhood owned water supplies and sewer systems; it tells me the ownership part seems feasible.

wood_spirit 15 hours ago

In the nordics it is common to have ground source heat pumps (brine in closed circuit pipe or bore hole) that are run backwards in summer to cool the house while actually assisting in storing heat back in the ground to extract in the winter. It’s a bit like regenerative breaking on electric cars.

ninalanyon 4 hours ago

No it's not. It exists but it's certainly not common for individual dwelling to use ground source heat pumps, at least in Norway. It is more common in Sweden[1] but still far less common than air source and over 90% of heat pump installations in Norway are air source[2].

The only ground source installations I can think of in Norway serve large office buildings and similar. The largest heat pump installation I know of in Norway is actually a third kind: water source[3]. It takes heat from the Drammen river to provide heat for a district heating system and for keeping the town centre clear of ice in the winter as well as supplying the new hospital with heat.

I imagine that the rest of the Nordic region is similar.

See:

[1] http://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/bitstream/JR...

[2] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221313882...

[3] https://energiteknikk.net/2023/11/drammen-fjernvarme-storst-...

sumea an hour ago

deliciousturkey 3 hours ago

emil-lp 2 hours ago

jjtheblunt 13 hours ago

There was a new in 1988 house in Champaign, Illinois, USA that used the same system, and i mention that because it was a normal modern house, and it's the only one i've heard of with that system.

It seems so smart.

maxerickson 11 hours ago

zdragnar 10 hours ago

Animats 15 hours ago

Shallow geothermal works fine for heating. And you can use the ground as a heat sink. But if you want to generate power, you need to get down to where temperatures can boil water. That's deeper than most oil wells. Fervo Energy claims to have found 270C at 3350 meters well depth. That's progress.

lostlogin 15 hours ago

> if you want to generate power, you need to get down to where temperatures can boil water. That's deeper than most oil wells.

That’s going to be very dependant on location.

Here in NZ there are regions where water is boiling at surface level.

According to the below, 18% of our power is produced with it.

https://www.eeca.govt.nz/insights/energy-in-new-zealand/rene...

Animats 9 hours ago

thinkcontext 8 hours ago

dboreham 6 hours ago

quijoteuniv 13 hours ago

I think this looks interesting, but still very early stage. The “150 GW revolution” sounds more like theoretical potential, not something we will see soon in real deployment.

Main problems: drilling is still expensive, managing induced seismic activity is not trivial, permitting can take long time, and you also need transmission infrastructure. Also not yet proven that companies like Fervo can scale this in reliable and low-cost way.

jeffbee 10 hours ago

Nope. To efficiently tap geothermal energy, you need to boil something but not necessarily water. Isopentane, for example, boils at 28º at standard pressure, so they pressurize the secondary loop to raise the boiling point close to whatever the primary loop temperature is.

The idea that geothermal only works well at steam temperatures is outdated 20th-century thinking.

emmelaich 10 hours ago

mlwiese 13 hours ago

Framingham, MA has a geothermal system using ground source heat pumps like what you are describing

https://www.smartcitiesdive.com/news/first-networked-geother...

solarpunk 15 hours ago

I think you're describing what is known as "district energy" systems.

limagnolia 10 hours ago

Whisper Valley in Austin Texas is one example of a neighborhood geothermal installation: https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/geothermal/texas-whispe...

Maybe not quite exactly what you envision.

WarOnPrivacy 6 hours ago

> Maybe not quite exactly what you envision.

I'm too zonked to pick out the method from the article - but I'll offer that geo methods can be region specific. What I described fits the SE US, with our 13 month summers and abundant underground water.

quickthrowman 14 hours ago

District heating and chilled water is uneconomical for single-family homes. It does work well in medium to high density areas.

gambiting 13 hours ago

I don't know how economical that is, but just as an anecdote - the town I'm from in Poland has district heating to all single family homes, town of about 20k people. And coincidentally, I now live in the UK and a new estate near me has district heating to all the houses they are building, not apartment blocks. So it must make some sense to someone, or they wouldn't be outfitting 100+ houses this way.

quickthrowman 8 minutes ago

mschuster91 12 hours ago

hunterpayne 12 hours ago

readthenotes1 15 hours ago

Isn't that similar to how neighborhood heat pumps work?

https://www.araner.com/blog/district-heating-in-sweden-effic...

hunterpayne 12 hours ago

Heat pumps require a specific temperate differential to work. So they work in zones with are a bit hotter or colder than you would like and so require moderate amounts of heating or cooling. They don't work in temperate zones nor in very hot or cold places. So Santa Fe or Minneapolis for example they work but Mexico City or San Francisco they don't. If you are in a place where they work and that isn't too dense or has earthquakes, go for it. If not, don't. There are businesses that will help you understand when they do and don't make sense. Those businesses don't sell heat pumps though (the businesses that sell things will almost always tell you it works, even when it doesn't, for example PV in the UK doesn't work).

sokoloff 10 hours ago

rcxdude 2 hours ago

adgjlsfhk1 10 hours ago

hyperbovine 10 hours ago

wesapien 7 hours ago

One of the problems with the data center boom is its use of fresh water. How does geo-thermal plants use water and how much?

micro2588 7 hours ago

The water at these temperature / depths has a lot of dissolved salts and minerals so it's not (human / ag) usable. Modern designs are closed loop systems where production wells bringing the hot water to the surface go through a heat exchanger to a different working fluid to drive the turbine and then is re-injected back into the reservoir. There is consumptive water use for fracking the reservoirs in these types of enhanced geothermal systems, but beyond that it's more water redistribution in the area around the well systems where re-injection and production lead to different pressurization from pumping / natural ground water replenishment rates.

WarOnPrivacy 6 hours ago

> One of the problems with the data center boom is its use of fresh water. How does geo-thermal plants use water and how much?

Baring leaks, ground source heat pump geo will consume no water at all. Water is pumped from one layer of the aquifer and is returned to a slightly higher layer.

ksec 5 hours ago

I dont know why this keeps coming up? It is a closed loop system. The water aren't used at all.

justnoise 5 hours ago

Animats 15 hours ago

Oh, Fervo Energy again. They're trying to IPO, hence the hype. Wikipedia's warning: This article reads like a press release or a news article and may be largely based on routine coverage. (February 2026) This article may have been created or edited in return for undisclosed payments, a violation of Wikipedia's terms of use. It may require cleanup to comply with Wikipedia's content policies, particularly neutral point of view.

Here's a more realistic evaluation of Fervo.[1]

[1] https://www.latitudemedia.com/news/what-fervos-approach-says...

tptacek 9 hours ago

That's Wikipedia warning about the quality of the Wikipedia page, not about the company.

w1 14 hours ago

This isn’t really an evaluation of the company, just explaining how they had to use different financing approaches as they grew and derisked their technology (which makes sense).

Compared to some other new approaches for getting clean base load power, it seems like they’ve been pretty grounded and methodical.

Animats 12 hours ago

They're way ahead of the microwave drilling people.

There's no reason why this shouldn't work. But they've been at it for 9 years, with considerable funding, and it doesn't really work yet. That's a concern.

mgfist 9 hours ago

hunterpayne 11 hours ago

Aboutplants 23 minutes ago

While I’m not extremely bullish on large scale geothermal, much like with Housing, we need any and all types of it.

pedalpete 12 hours ago

According to google, this would be almost 30% of total US energy production (135gw-150gw) and nearly 5% of total US energy consumption.

But what is the "breakthrough" if there is one? The article doesn't really suggest any breakthrough that is unlocking this potential energy? Or maybe I'm looking for a technological breakthrough where there isn't one.

hunterpayne 12 hours ago

There isn't one. They are trying to politically pressure a utility to build some geothermal plant. But utilities have engineers who will tell their bosses that this plan doesn't work. So the companies selling the geothermal plant are trying to politically pressure the utility to do yet another thing that they know won't work. PG&E for example has several geothermal plants which have been economic disasters and were and are being shutdown.

micro2588 8 hours ago

The core breakthroughs were working with partners to develop PDC bits that enable high rates of penetration in drilling out these horizontal wells in high temp granitic rock and then demonstrating plug / perf fracture networks that have a high engineered permeability in these source rocks to support economical flow rates and heat transfer. These were considerable advances over previous efforts.

There will be other learning by doing advances in how you structure your power plant design to take advantage of these to make practical long term power production possible (well spacing and injection / production placement / flow rate and temperature decline management).

mgfist 8 hours ago

> PG&E for example has several geothermal plants which have been economic disasters and were and are being shutdown.

Those are very different from EGS

hn_throwaway_99 12 hours ago

4th paragraph of TFA:

> Several companies are now building upon existing techniques for accessing geothermal resources by integrating enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) into operations. While conventional geothermal systems produce energy using hot water or steam, pumped from naturally occurring hydrothermal reservoirs trapped in rock formations underground, EGS use innovative drilling technologies, such as those used in fracking operations, to drill horizontally and create hydrothermal reservoirs where they don’t currently exist.

nandomrumber 11 hours ago

Sounds like marketing hype to me.

Geothermal reservoirs exist at depth.

Drilling horizontally doesn’t magically reduce the depth, nor the problem that drilling in to hot rock is like drilling in to plasticine, at least for temperatures worth working with.

micro2588 9 hours ago

sunshinesnacks 9 hours ago

EGS has been around for at least 15 years. See AltaRock Energy as an example (I’m sure there are others). They started almost 20 years ago. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AltaRock_Energy

nusl 12 hours ago

So it basically says nothing useful other than try to generate hype and make them look good.

thinkcontext 8 hours ago

skybrian 10 hours ago

My understanding is that it's due to better drilling techniques. The industry learned a fair bit from fracking and they're learning more from experience as they apply it to geothermal.

No particular breakthrough, but there's a learning curve and they learn more as they do more. Other industries sometimes work that way, too.

https://www.austinvernon.site/blog/geothermalupdate2026.html

Melatonic an hour ago

Those geothermal plants up by Mammoth Lakes are looking like a great idea right now

jmward01 14 hours ago

Here is an article that is a bit old but discusses the start of things [1]. It would be a bit ironic if fracking tech helped get us further from using natural gas. I think the reality will be if this gets established we will see rapid improvement as scale comes on line so if it is remotely economical now it will be massively better in 5-10 years. Of course the 'if' applies.

[1] (2023) https://time.com/6302342/fervo-fracking-technology-geotherma...

metalman 2 hours ago

this looks like a search for fluffy money durring an energy crisis.

Turbines are completly mature, and nothing dealing with some new deap drilling breakthrough or heat exhanger advancement, or more efficient and durable pumps, crittical CO², or H²O ?, not yet. Existing geothermal plants use the same generation technology as a coal plant, but use near surface heat assosiated with volcanoes and hot springs, and there is a distinct limit on more of that.

runicelf 11 hours ago

Would be great to see this in our lifetime

idontwantthis 11 hours ago

Is 150GW enough for a “revolution”? That’s about 10% of current total power production.

edbaskerville 6 hours ago

Solar and wind, with battery storage, can get you to say 90%, and then you only need 10% from other sources like geothermal and nuclear to fully decarbonize.

smallerize 11 hours ago

Solar is at 7%. It's very significant.

davidw 13 hours ago

There's one of those sites near where I live. The numbers would be amazing if true, but feel a lot like "to good to be true" to me

https://www.opb.org/article/2025/10/06/super-hot-rocks-geoth...

micro2588 7 hours ago

Newberry Volcano is too good to be true in that there are few (outside of Yellowstone) equivalent sources of geothermal awesomeness at similar depths in the USA. Good for research bad for generalization of drilling costs to hit similar temperatures. There are federal protections for geothermal drilling anywhere near Yellowstone.

typon 8 hours ago

What is the point of building energy outside of solar farms? I'm sincerely asking

AngryData 5 hours ago

An inexhaustible 24/7 production capable plant has many advantages over solar and maintaining large most types of battery banks.

energy123 5 hours ago

Cost is like 90-99% of what matters. Last year, China installed 300GW of new renewables and 0GW of geothermal, despite geothermal being "an inexhaustible 24/7 production capable".

Geothermal will compete with solar if they can get the cost low enough. I hope they succeed!

applied_heat 8 hours ago

Night time? But batteries! Several cloudy days in a row? More batteries! Cost? -> a mix of sources becomes attractive

typon 7 hours ago

https://imgur.com/a/dV8gk3R

can you find curves like this for any other power source?

also batteries are getting exponentially cheap too

micro2588 6 hours ago

mskogly 15 hours ago

The whole continent of America made a breakthrough?

LeFantome 10 hours ago

There is no continent called “America”.

mc32 13 hours ago

You know how the United Arab Emirates are known as the Emirates, how the United Mexican Sates are known as Mexico and how the United States of America is known as America? Are you unfamiliar with what synecdoche is?

ButlerianJihad 13 hours ago

LeFantome 10 hours ago

Now USMCA (if you are American) or CUSMA (if you are Canadian) or T-MEC (if you are Mexican).

Canadian United States Mexico Agreement.

It is up for review July 1st I believe.

dmix 10 hours ago

defrost 10 hours ago

Or, as you've presented, three of the twenty three independent states and territories of North America.