SpaceX to buy Cursor for $60B (reuters.com)
410 points by itsmarcelg 7 hours ago
01100011 an hour ago
I stopped using Cursor when I started getting comfortable with Codex/Claude. Cursor is just annoying with the constant popups and it's just not as good. Now my workflow is to use my normal editor, add a todo describing what I want, and then ask Codex+gpt-5.5 to implement it. It absolutely nails it. Using codex is so much more like working with a partner vs the noise and annoyance of Cursor.
That said, I think we're in a narrow window of time right now where any of this matters. Prompt "engineering" and working around your tools will be over in a year or so.
Fwiw I am a c/c++ systems engineer. I think anyone mentioning anecdotal experience like this should clarify. Maybe frontend JavaScript folks have a totally different take and that's expected.
tombert 25 minutes ago
Same.
When I first used Cursor, I hadn't used any of the "Vibe Code" tools out there, so it was pretty neat to have an assistant directly tied to the editor.
Once I learned how to use Codex, I just used a tmux split with NeoVim and have the effect I wanted. I haven't felt compelled to use Cursor at work since.
zzleeper 7 minutes ago
Same path as you. Went from $60 cursor plan (often exceeding it which costed more in API) to a limitless $100 codex plan where I basically say "read the markdown and implement the instructions". Deepseek also works quite well, surprisingly!
(FWIW Im mostly using python for OCR, LLM calls, data analysis..)
mrnaught 15 minutes ago
>> Fwiw I am a c/c++ systems engineer. I think anyone mentioning anecdotal experience like this should clarify. Maybe frontend JavaScript folks have a totally different take and that's expected.
Similar experience, having transitioned from full-stack to a dedicated C/C++ stack, learned/experienced firsthand that there is no one-size-fits-all tool.
whstl 24 minutes ago
Cursor also seems to be doing something with the Claude models that makes it way slower and less efficient as times goes by.
Or it could be just Claude CLI doing something very well.
FlamingMoe 17 minutes ago
My experience exactly... minus c++
devin 25 minutes ago
What are you saying is going to be over in a year or so?
jw1224 18 minutes ago
Not OP, but I generally agree. Models are powerful enough now to reliably instruct other models. They don’t need fancy tools or IDEs, just the command line.
With deterministic workflows, type-safe languages and test suites, agentic loops pretty much “can’t fail”. They will continue until the types resolve, the tests pass, and the project requirements are deterministically met.
By that point it’s literally just a case of typing a prompt in to a text field, and waiting.
Fiahil 16 minutes ago
Oh, you should try OpenSpec !
sergiotapia 15 minutes ago
On the flipside, I enjoy Cursor now and came back to it after leaving it over a year ago. The 2.5 model is fast as hell and very good. And whatever harness they have it's terrific, great results. I also really enjoy the fact that I can open my website in the Cursor in-app browser and just click and reference stuff. It's a really cracked workflow. The models can only get better for them.
infecto 29 minutes ago
I like your take and think the key takeaway is that there is no single answer for everyone. It’s like eMacs vs vim.
My one question is what popups exist in cursor? It is my daily driver and I cannot recall any popups.
ryukoposting 24 minutes ago
I like cursor, but I'm assuming they're talking about how it hijacks your tab key. It's amazing when it works, and infuriating when I just want to insert a damn tab!
infecto a minute ago
Alifatisk an hour ago
A space company is buying an IDE for roughly the cost to build 150 of world's most expensive modern hospitals [1]. How is this in SpaceX's interest? Isn't it kinda bizarre that Elon is pivoting SpaceX to something else?
1. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/16/spacex-spcx-cursor-acquisiti...
drewda 20 minutes ago
The total addressable market (TAM) for SpaceX is finite. There are only so many nation-states and large corporations that want to launch payloads into orbit.
And even if their internet service provider is uniquely capable for now, it only fills a strategic need for certain customers.
So instead, Musk and Co. need to find bubbling market trends that look like they will have huge gigantic TAMs to justify the potential growth of this company.
joshuastuden 9 minutes ago
SpaceX also wants to put data centers in space. That's the big market for SpaceX and how it ties into AI.
monegator 5 minutes ago
mikeryan 39 minutes ago
It’s all in a stock that may very well be near its zenith when this closes (or maybe not. This is so far past fundamentals it’s impossible to tell).
They’re spending Monopoly money.
It also seems like SpaceX is poised to Hoover up all of Elons companies so it’s might not be “just a space company” for long.
munk-a 21 minutes ago
Elon's award is tied to growing Tesla's market cap - it's pretty transparent that he's just trying to ball-of-mud together everything he can to hit that target and grab the bag.
andruby 4 minutes ago
toephu2 3 minutes ago
Why are you comparing it to building expensive modern hospitals? Why don't you compare every other tech acquisition to that? because that's not a relevant comparison, and building expensive modern hospitals has nothing to do with the goal of for-profit corporations.
SpaceX has 3 major businesses: Space, Starlink, and AI.
This acquisition helps with the 3rd one.
modeless 30 minutes ago
Cursor's edit data is invaluable to anyone who wants to train a coding model. Probably the best data available outside Anthropic and OpenAI. Coding models are seen by the leaders in AI as both the biggest current revenue opportunity and the best way to accelerate the progress of AI and bring about recursive self-improvement that will create superintelligence. So yeah, it's easy to see how SpaceX could see it as in their interest to purchase Cursor with 2% of their equity.
A city on Mars was never going to happen without revenue. Starlink is providing revenue but probably not enough for Mars. SpaceX needs more and AI is the only plausible way.
throw310822 22 minutes ago
> Cursor's edit data is invaluable to anyone who wants to train a coding model.
Ok. So what prevents a company from offering a Claude Code/ Cursor equivalent, with 100% subsidised Claude (= 100% free), capturing the exact same data that Cursor does? If the data is worth in the tens of billions, the cost of subsidising the usage is negligible.
swatcoder 34 minutes ago
With its IPO, SpaceX secured its role as the vehicle for consolidating Musk's vanity businesses into one closely held public organization that can more easily convert publicity into investment and internally reallocate funds and debts based on his personal whims.
So yes, SpaceX is pivoting, but it's to no one's surprise.
chrisgd 29 minutes ago
So buy $TSLA is your recommendation
mixdup 18 minutes ago
frde_me 39 minutes ago
Calling it an IDE is under-representing cursor
They have in-house models, and the data to train even more powerful ones. The cursor team is a proper AI lab.
CamperBob2 a minute ago
They use Kimi and post-train it on the same stuff that anyone with a Github dump can feed it. They aren't doing anything that you can't do yourself.
airstrike 32 minutes ago
Isn't their in-house model just Kimi?
frde_me 11 minutes ago
tomrod 34 minutes ago
Meh. On an outcomes analysis, I've found Cursor's delivery to be exceptionally weak.
Good luck to the alt-economy of SpaceTesla though, may all our 401ks survive.
oompydoompy74 20 minutes ago
Their “in house models” are reportedly basically just Kimi.
frde_me 11 minutes ago
tanseydavid 36 minutes ago
This Cold Fusion vid covers the "pivot" nicely.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FPIGu0anfAE
The video explains that it is spelled out in the prospectus that SpaceX is counting 70%-80% of their total addressable market to be AI related and only about 7%-8% to be space-related.
munk-a 23 minutes ago
If only the shareholders had any kind of voice - if only it was illegal to issue a fake IPO where you sell an overwhelming number of shares stripped of their voting power - if only the market responded rationally to this boondoggle.
If we're going to right the ship in turn of common sense a bunch of people need to lose a bunch of money, I just hope it doesn't mostly hit passive investors and instead lands mostly on Elon-stans.
over_bridge 6 minutes ago
How is it legal to have different share classes? You could make 100 shares that can vote and then sell 99.9% of the company while maintaining full control. Seems strongly against the spirit of a publicly traded company
verzali 20 minutes ago
I suppose they kind of do, they could sell the stock and drive the price down. That wouldn't force Musk to change direction, but it would hurt his wealth.
devops000 29 minutes ago
They are buying it with overvalued stocks, so it isn't real money. Probably the Cursor team will be able to sell it when the SpaceX stocks will be already crashed.
sharts 13 minutes ago
Gotta pump that stock price with constant news buzz
red-iron-pine 11 minutes ago
yeah but someone -- no one has explained who -- still thinks this is a good idea
jmintz 40 minutes ago
is spacex a space company? I thought they were an internet provider that wants to use their strategic advantages to get into AI including AI infra like data centers.
munk-a 17 minutes ago
SpaceX and everything Elon are stock companies - they're Microstrategy but with a veneer of a real business slapped on top.
outside1234 13 minutes ago
SpaceX is just a vibe company. Nothing they are doing makes sense on a valuation basis, which their investors are eventually going to painfully figure out.
ctdinjeu7 34 minutes ago
Didn’t you see Moon? They need a Gerdy
tgma 41 minutes ago
I mean, the answer is obvious if you do not deliberately try to put a message in the worst light possible:
- "Space company" has a major LLM+datacenter business called X.ai.
- LLM for coding is a big business, as you can see from trillion dollar valuations of Anthropic.
- Cursor is popular and gives you a headstart on the business.
- Instagram was bought for the price of many many hospitals. Uber is more valuable than companies owning the cars. Different business models, entirely different valuation models. Not sure what that comparison entails. You know it. I know it.
Whether it is a good purchase or not, we may not know, but we know your characterization is just outright dismissal without much rationale behind it.
RIMR 42 minutes ago
Elon is consolidating all of his property into one single megacorporation because he is confident that nobody will ever challenge this, given the current political direction of the United States.
dvt 39 minutes ago
> the current political direction of the United States
These kinds of comments reek echo-chamber parroting and zero substantive research. As someone that very much enjoys and carefully follows politics, the current political direction points squarely to Republicans getting absolutely pummelled in the midterms, effectively turning Trump's administration into a 2-year lame duck. What are you even talking about?
jayd16 4 minutes ago
mourgne 6 minutes ago
paulryanrogers 32 minutes ago
mcphage 15 minutes ago
shipman05 17 minutes ago
ignoramous 17 minutes ago
> bizarre that Elon is pivoting SpaceX to something else
SPACx designs, manufactures, and launches the world's most advanced ponzis on pyramids. The company will be re-founded every year by Xlon Tusk to revolutionize capitalism, with the ultimate goal of making market multilevel.
spacX has gained VC attention for a series of web3 milestones: It is the only AI company ever to run a 1000B-A3000-Thinkkking on low-Cost toasters, which it first accomplished in May 1945. Grokipedia made history again when its ClosedAI attached to Moonshot Kimi, exchanged token payloads, and returned Alignment to money — a deeply challenging feat previously accomplished only by Cursor 60B. Since then it has distilled cargo to and from Moonshot multiple times, providing regular RL missions for Goog.yieldcrv 40 minutes ago
SpaceX’s interest is being an Enterprise AI corporation, they identified it as a $24 trillion addressable market, in comparison to their quarter trillion rocket related one
It’s all disclosed in the S-1, you read it right?
In America all you have to do is tell potential investors what you’re doing, its up to the people to use their discretion afterwards
rlt 27 minutes ago
SpaceX is trying to be “the railroad to space”.
Starlink was a fantastic way to increase the launch cadence of Falcon 9. “High production rate solves many ills” is part of SpaceX’s ethos.
They’re trying to do the same with orbital compute for Starship.
I’m not sure having their own frontier models is strictly necessary for that, but it’s at least related.
mattnewton 12 minutes ago
Congrats to the Cursor team!
When I first saw the company built on top of vscode in such a crowded field way back at the end of 2022, I thought "forget having a moat, they are renting their castle from the invaders!" - I couldn't see how see how a single team could execute well enough to effectively muscle their way in between Microsoft and OpenAI, who at that point looked destined to control the developer ecosystem between GitHub, VsCode and the then-best coding models. I think it's easy to forget how insane this seemed even just a few years ago.
But every year since then they managed to simply ship a better product on the axis that mattered to the most users. And now they are sitting between a huge user base and a massive stream of valuable tokens, they can sell to SpaceX. Incredibly impressive.
turadg 2 minutes ago
Funny that “GitHub should really support stacked diffs” led the Graphite team to a space colonization co.
2020: Leave Meta and start a company.
2020–2021: Spend ~18 months looking for PMF.
2021–2025: Build Graphite around stacked PRs, code review, and merge queues.
2025: Get acquired by Cursor because AI makes code review the bottleneck.
2026: Cursor gets acquired by SpaceX because Elon.
Not a startup arc I would have predicted from `gt stack submit`.
glenngillen 5 hours ago
Back in the early days of Heroku (when I worked there), we were all fairly deep into the Ruby community. Ruby has never had a great reputation for performance, but... it seemed like almost a running joke that any time you went down a rabbit-hole trying to understand some weird performance issue you'd eventually discover that @tmm1 had already identified the same issue months earlier, patched it in core, and given an hour long talk about it somewhere. Despite his ability and willingness talk publicly about quite deep technical topics Aman always came across as an incredibly quiet and humble in person. Every Ruby developer has benefited from his attention to finding and fixing performance issues. I'm sure the same can probably said for every GitHub user (where he worked for years).
Congrats to the entire Cursor team! I don't know all of their stories, but I do like to smile and celebrate a little when I see people who are often hidden in the shadows quietly making things x% better for all of millions of us every day for many years getting reward for that effort.
barredo 6 hours ago
>> SpaceX told investors during the IPO process that it sees an addressable market for AI products worth $26 trillion, roughly equivalent to U.S. GDP.
I very much can imagine a future documentary in a few years. With the host asking the audience: "Where were the signs?"
thisisit 22 minutes ago
That's the number AI boosters are spreading too "The TAM for AI is all of humanity - this includes every person and every company. So, imagine this huge pile of future revenue." I agree that TAM is likely huge but is SpaceX most suitable to capture that TAM? Unlikely. But for now everyone wants in on the AI hype train and FOMO of losing out one any company in the AI space.
In the long term most markets are duopoly with small competitors. And personally I see OpenAI and Anthropic duking it out rather than SpaceX.
fred_is_fred 27 minutes ago
Maybe they can monetize and trade AI tokens like Enron was going to trade bandwidth?
Joel_Mckay 17 minutes ago
Enron was never audacious enough betting every US man, woman, and child will spend $28k/year on their generally nonprofitable business with one exception -- Starlink.
Patrick Boyle covered the SPCX trajectory fairly well... =3
javier2 31 minutes ago
I know this is just nonsense wish thinking, but apparently the investors disagree and I have zero clue when they will also stop giving Musk their money.
caconym_ 6 minutes ago
I think the bump since IPO can be explained at least partially by low float not meeting demand. I've seen a lot of accounts from retail investors who entered the lotteries saying they only got a small fraction of what they wanted, hence demand is kept artificially high. Probably intentionally, since it essentially allows the optimists to dictate the price.
csours an hour ago
Signal and noise. Lots of noise. SO much noise.
To be clear, I don't know which part is signal and which part is noise any better than anyone else.
sanex 4 hours ago
My whole team was on cursor for a few months. I enjoyed using it and thought it was the most complete of the agentic coding tools I tried. The thing that got me was the cost. I was switching between Opus and GPT 5.x and was spending anywhere between $500-1000/month. I was using a relatively normal workflow, paste in ticket, plan, execute with dumb sub agents, have the ai test and competing model to validate. The business got uncomfortable with the cost when everyone started doing the same so they switched us to Claude code since it has better cost controls. So far it looks like we won't even touch the $100/month plan and some people would be ok on the $20 plan. Anthropics usage limits is a consistent source of complaint on here but I've found them to be moderately generous in comparison to cursor. Cursor also charges a $.25Mtok premium for 'routing' no matter what model you choose. 5% increase for frontier models but when you're using haiku on sub agents that's a 50% cost increase. Composer is solid but if you don't have deep pockets it's the only feasible model on their platform because of how they bill it. Being an all in one editor/agent is nice but if you're in a language like c# or Java you're already swapping back and forth with a real IDE anyway.
frays 5 hours ago
Is anyone on HN still actually using Cursor in 2026?
Everyone I've spoken with is now using either Claude Code or Codex (or Copilot because their companies force them to).
servercobra 4 minutes ago
Just setup my team with Cursor. They actually got back to me on an enterprise plan (Claude keeps ignoring me). Cloud Agents have been great for keeping multiple streams going at the same time. Adding in computer use has been great for actually testing out features and showing they work for PRs. Bugbot so far has been the best AI reviewer I've tested. Composer 2.5 is great, though still using Opus for planning.
I can do most of this with Claude Code, but there's definitely a cost in maintaining it for the whole team.
aquarious_ 20 minutes ago
I use Cursor for work, but claude code for personal development. I think Cursor is still useful but the most value really is access to latest models
joefourier 4 hours ago
I stopped using Cursor because of how terribly optimised it is (worse than VSCode despite being a fork). It would routinely take up 50% of the CPU resources on my MacBook M4 and gigabytes of RAM for absolutely no reason.
I switched to Zed, and I'm never going back to Electron/non-native IDEs.
laurels-marts 35 minutes ago
My company gave me cursor license after I had already been using Codex CLI for months and VS Code for a decade.
I had absolutely no interest in their VS Code fork. The Agent Window was okay but buggy (eg wouldn’t load branches on Ubuntu via WSL2).
Overall used it a couple of times but still use Codex CLI as my main driver. Might try CC in the future esp. if they unban Fable.
eranation 3 hours ago
Still do. Composer 2.5 is a beast. But even with Opus (and Fable for a few days) their harness is many times faster. The main reason for me to use CC is the $200 subsidized pro max plan.
Also their computer use in the cloud agents (when it works) is a game changer. No need to keep your laptop open / get a Mac mini if it runs in the cloud.
frangonf 3 hours ago
I was on Claude Code the past year, now I use chinese models, but I've used Cursor and they have an ok pricing offering today because of their mix of sota models with usage based pricing along with their Kimi based Composer model with generous limits. I think it makes a lot of sense for the enterprise market, which is the real moat, and not the capabilities/features of the forked ide or app/tui/github bot anyone can come up with today.
jjice 4 hours ago
It's my primary. Claude Code for personal stuff on the weekends. I really just prefer the GUI of having the changes easily highlighted. If I can get something to apply that with Claude Code or Codex or OpenCode or whatever, I'd swap over without thinking.
nerdsniper 3 hours ago
Same here - their UI/UX seems to serve my workflows/habits the best. And it's strange that no one else seems to be delivering a compatible experience for me. I'd prefer to move away from Cursor after this acquisition.
asteroidburger 36 minutes ago
Wouldn’t Kiro fit the bill?
estetlinus 28 minutes ago
I have seen a few codebases lately with AI-bullish teams. Code produced by Cursor reeks of low quality. I’ve tried it but never got hooked.
AFAIK their market is pseudo-technical people who haven’t found the terminal yet.
namuol 9 minutes ago
I use Cursor and it’s been fine. I write a lot of code manually too, so I liked the tight integration with VSCode, my daily driver for about a decade. I used to use Vim, so I’ve “discovered the terminal” a long time ago.
The people steering the agents are the ones producing low quality code. I see little correlation outside of that.
justAnotherHero 3 hours ago
I'm still on their old 500 requests/month plan and the value is simply unbeatable for $20. I've been able to use agents without worrying about usage for my job and personal projects paired with the $20 codex sub and I dread the day when they finally get rid of the requests plan.
kilroy123 3 hours ago
I switched back to VSCode with Codex and Claude extensions. Just more stable.
joaofs 3 hours ago
Development is moving away from the IDE to agentic long running workers. I've been using their SDK in this mode - which then forces you to use cursor as model provider. I use a mix of harnesses for different types of agentic tasks and Cursor gets the best results.
petterroea 4 hours ago
to be fair "nobody" is using grok either
hasteg 4 hours ago
Earlier this year I had used it because I would rather have a IDE-like exp and be able to actually look at the code. However, recently switched to using claude code VS code extension and it's basically the same thing (plus at Amazon we can only use Claude Code)
redorb 4 hours ago
I use Cursor, but funny enough it's 98% just using the codex plugin - I kept cursor around on the grand fathered $20 / 500 requests plan, if they un-grandfather me or things change too much I'll zip over to vscode.
manojlds 4 hours ago
Fully on Cursor at work and I love it over CC, OpenCode and Pi that I use for personal work.
drunkan 3 hours ago
Zed with Claude code is the best of both worlds
prodtorok 4 hours ago
I used their agent view yesterday and the file tree does not update when you add new files.
ing33k 4 hours ago
Yes. Do the heavy lifting in Claude code , Codex.
Basic tasks in cursor. It's decent and damn fast.
All my team members also use it.
iddan 4 hours ago
Yes, unlike Claude it has excellent response rate and i can leverage their speedy models
ramraj07 4 hours ago
We use the bugbot. Best code review agent we've seen.
ArneCode 4 hours ago
I use it because their pro plan is free for students
scottcorgan 3 hours ago
if you use hn you probably don't speak to actual people tho
linuxftw 4 hours ago
I use Cursor for coding. I like to review the changes via the UI. Plan mode is also really strong in Cursor. It bugs me less about needing to search through files and basic coding tasks. I find it also saves the company a ton of money compared to Claude, Claude burns through tokens with no regard.
I typically use Claude for interacting with MCPs and skills to operate on live systems.
alephnerd 4 hours ago
Plenty of enterprises are still using Cursor, though they are facing plenty of pressure because Anthropic and OpenAI bundle Claude Code and Codex which can make it hard to justify an additional license for a third-party harness (why spend that money there when you can buy the underlying tokens instead).
theli0nheart 4 hours ago
I use Cursor every day.
geremiiah 4 hours ago
Here's a shower thought. BTC essential is worth $70k solely through the power of memes. Can TSLA and SPCX remain overvalued (relative to the revenue of their respective underlying assets) forever through the power of memes?
Intuitively, it seems to me that there must necessarily be some kind of upper limit, but I'm not convincing myself. These speculative assets are only attractive as long as the price keeps inflating. But that can only happen if there is more and more demand. So it's basically a bet that there is an average amount of retail investors (I assume it's mostly retail investors but I could be wrong) that consistently put a percentage of their income into these speculative assets. Can this be maintained forever?
drakythe 4 hours ago
The saying "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent" exists for a reason.
In short, the answer to your literal question is "no" because nothing remains forever in this world. The practical answer is "yes" because the TSLA stock has been irrational for years already and it shows no sign of stopping.
runarberg 38 minutes ago
That saying assumes a rational market, and while there is some evidence that the average human behavior trends towards the rational there are plenty of evidence against individual behavior being rational (see homo economicus).
As more and more wealth get distrubuted to fewer and fewer hands, and as fewer and fewer extremely rich individuals control more and more of the market, My gut feeling is that if the market was ever rational (which btw. I am not entirely convinced of) that very much no longer holds true.
grey-area 18 minutes ago
mixdup 4 hours ago
The thing is fundamentals really don't matter. TSLA and SPCX aren't paying dividends so there's no real performance they have to hit, no one is going to miss a dividend payment and dump the stock. The Elong vibes can carry it as long as people keep smoking what he's selling
The real question is, when does that run out of steam? When do we wake up to the charade that has built up around us? That's a much bigger thing than just Elon and his businesses. Like someone else said, when the next crisis/downturn/depression hits the house of cards will fall. Unfortunately it will hit all of us not just people in the meme stocks
philistine 2 hours ago
I'm extremely cynical about the way the US government would react to any sort of financial crisis. I do not believe that they would not completely cave and bail out the AI companies and the monopolists if there is a downturn. And it's not that I don't trust the Republicans specifically. The whole political sphere is completely convinced that AI is a national security prerogative, and the cynical political atmosphere will equate national security with investor protection.
Let me append the saying a bit: The US government can remain irrational longer than you can stay solvent.
fluoridation an hour ago
namuol 7 minutes ago
lossolo 3 hours ago
If you exclude dividend paying stocks, then the entire stock market starts to look like a giant pyramid scheme casino.
mixdup 39 minutes ago
throw0101c 3 hours ago
ethbr1 3 hours ago
PyWoody 2 hours ago
Danox 3 hours ago
criddell 3 hours ago
Would you say the same thing about Bitcoin? Will that house of cards all fall in the next crisis/downturn/depression?
mixdup 29 minutes ago
lokar 3 hours ago
senordevnyc 2 hours ago
ahcharades 3 hours ago
Yes when will everyone wake up for the charade of having a monopoly on space launches? Of putting over 90% of all mass into space, of your closest competitor being the nation state of China, and they are years away from where you are right now. Ah yes, that charade, when will people learn am I right? Total genius.
mixdup 33 minutes ago
ben_w 2 hours ago
V__ 3 hours ago
moogly 29 minutes ago
petilon 4 hours ago
Michael Burry, a hedge fund investor featured in the book “The Big Short” for his predictions on the 2008 financial crisis, said in a Substack discussion last month that any increase in SpaceX’s stock after its I.P.O. would “be on hype and technicals.”
Here, “technicals” means technical analysis signals rather than the company’s business fundamentals. In other words, Burry is saying the stock could rise because of chart-based trading, momentum, and market behavior—not because investors think SpaceX is truly worth that much based on revenue, profits, or other fundamentals.
How long can the hype be maintained? TSLA is still maintaining its hype, judging by its P/E ratio.
TaupeRanger 3 hours ago
Technical Analysis is Astrology, and Burry has predicted 17 of last the last 2 stock market crashes.
UncleOxidant 2 hours ago
rob74 3 hours ago
The hype already starts with the SpaceX SEC filing. According to it, its addressable market is $28.5 trillion, of which $26.5 trillion are AI. This means that every human being who owns a computer on this planet (1.75 billion) would need to spend (on average) over $15.000 on xAI products.
root-parent 3 hours ago
ben_w 3 hours ago
dzhiurgis 2 hours ago
darth_avocado 3 hours ago
Technicals are the star signs of stock market.
root-parent 3 hours ago
Danox 2 hours ago
Tesla definitely is floating down slowly worldwide with hype when it finally crashes just don’t be left holding the bag. 2026 will be another year downward.
_trampeltier 12 minutes ago
pjc50 3 hours ago
Notably, it looks like the meme power is gradually being redirected from BTC and cryptocurrency in general towards AI and SpaceX in general. Now that people have found a means of consuming vast amounts of computing power that occasionally emits useful output, rather than just a hash and a colossal waste.
throw0101c 3 hours ago
> Here's a shower thought. BTC essential is worth $70k solely through the power of memes. Can TSLA and SPCX remain overvalued (relative to the revenue of their respective underlying assets) forever through the power of memes?
The "value" of something can be a bit of a meta-game:
> A Keynesian beauty contest is a metaphorical beauty contest in which judges are rewarded for selecting the most popular choices among all judges, rather than those they may personally find the most attractive. This idea is often applied in financial markets, whereby investors could profit more by buying whichever stocks they think other investors will buy, rather than the stocks that have fundamentally the best value, because when other people buy a stock, they bid up the price, allowing an earlier investor to cash out with a profit, regardless of whether the price increases are supported by its fundamentals and theoretical arguments.
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keynesian_beauty_contest
Plenty of folks may think these companies are garbage but are 'playing along' because it's not necessarily what they themselves think that is important, but what others think.
This idea was put forward by Keynes in his General Thoery publish in 1936, so human nature has hardly changed since then.
jld 4 hours ago
While gold has industrial uses, isn't most of its value based on the fact that people like it and believe that it has value?
jimnotgym 3 hours ago
I was once told bitcoin was a 'pet rock'. Thing is people pay a lot of money for rocks when they have no planned industrial activity for them. Diamonds, for instance.
I think you are spot on. The problem comes if SpaceX goes out of fashion, not its fundamentals.
interstice 4 hours ago
I'm not sure if this means gold isn't powered by memes or whether it's just one of the most long lived memes of all time. Aside from other nice properties like lasting a long time, being pretty, and not requiring electricity to exist.
Danox 2 hours ago
jpadkins 3 hours ago
What you are describing applies to all forms of money. It has value because people believe other people will use it as money. If that belief drops, the value drops.
People comment on gold and Bitcoin, but don't realize the same principles apply to US dollars and bonds.
chriswarbo an hour ago
otterley 3 hours ago
On what grounds do you believe the value of BTC is meme-driven? Another (and arguably more plausible) explanation is that the price reflects the vast amount of criminally-obtained wealth stored in it. It’s a far better store than burying cash in mountain caches.
observationist 3 hours ago
All money is meme driven. Money is fundamentally a meme itself. Seeing lots of people who seem to be making some sort of implicit distinction between bitcoin and USD and so on, but they are no different. They serve the function they serve because of what people believe about them, like any other social, cultural, or economic abstraction. Bitcoin has the feature of a verifiable ledger, but its value and function are in our heads, just like the USD or GBP.
Stevvo 3 hours ago
BTC is a terrible place to put criminally-obtained wealth. Public ledger and all that makes it very difficult to hide anything.
instalabsai 3 hours ago
This is why I think Elon buying Twitter was one of the most strategic decisions he ever made: he quite literally bought the meme machine that upholds the valuations of his companies.
ben_w 3 hours ago
I still don't think it was strategic on his part, he did try to back out after all; my guess is that having bought it, he tried to maximise the value it produced.
And given the financial statements in the SpaceX IPO, to the extent X still has any value at all, it is almost all just influence of one kind or another, not actual money.
ceejayoz 3 hours ago
And the government that helps fund and regulate (or not) them.
jayd16 37 minutes ago
Pump and dump only has to meme hard enough for the pump part.
yousif_123123 3 hours ago
At least as long as Musk is the CEO, perhaps. I don't think it's easy to find another charismatic figure to keep it going.
It's a different kind of hype than Nvidia has, which is showing very high and fast growing revenues (which may not continue, but they're real now). Jensen I think is not as critical to the AI hype as Elon is to his companies.
All these major tech companies eventually get leadership changes. Apple, Google, Amazon, have all done well because they're real companies and go beyond their original leadership. Tesla and SpaceX I think would surely go down the moment Musk is no longer in leadership.
functionmouse 3 hours ago
you think Musk is charismatic?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/elon-musk-polls-popularity-nate...
majority view him unfavorably.
ben_w 3 hours ago
SketchySeaBeast 3 hours ago
rapind 4 hours ago
> Can this be maintained forever?
Obviously not. It’s all about timing your bail so you don’t get left holding the bag.
ozgrakkurt 4 hours ago
> BTC essential is worth $70k solely through the power of memes
This is not true.
BTC is way more sane than SpaceX as can be seen by it's history so far.
rebolek 3 hours ago
SpaceX is successfully building reusable rockets. BTC can process few transactions every ten or so minutes at enormous price.
I think SpaceX is definitely overpriced but saying that BTC is more sane is completely delusional.
Overpower0416 2 hours ago
misiti3780 4 hours ago
neither of them are sane. BTC is useless, unless your trying to buy child porn, buy illicit drugs on the internet, or someone who bought it before the value exploded. eventually, the world will come around and it will go to zero, if quantum doesnt kill it first. im looking forward to that day.
vovavili 3 hours ago
ozgrakkurt 4 hours ago
jimnotgym 3 hours ago
throw310822 4 hours ago
stetrain 4 hours ago
The current market cap of SPCX and TSLA combined (~$3.8T) is about 3 times the total value of all BTC (~$1.3T).
teekert 3 hours ago
Someone invents something that is digital, but can't be copied. Quite brilliant as it is the first digital asset that can store value without centralization and trust, based on market demand.
Someone on HN: "BTC is valueable solely through the power of memes".
throwaway894345 3 hours ago
Bitcoin doesn't "store value", it has the value that society assigns it, which is what the parent means when s/he says "BTC is valuable solely through the power of memes". It's not a fiat currency, nor does it have any intrinsic utilitarian value.
teekert an hour ago
grey-area 2 hours ago
It seems like that during a bubble (things can never go down!) but the market eventually does correct, even if it can take years or even decades to do so, and usually overcorrects when it does.
jtbayly 4 hours ago
I saw that one wealthy individual had purchased $1 billion of SpaceX at the IPO. Does that count as a retail investor?
andsoitis 3 hours ago
> I saw that one wealthy individual had purchased $1 billion of SpaceX at the IPO. Does that count as a retail investor?
There were two individuals who each bought $1B: Ron Baron and Gina Rinehart.
While they are individuals, they executed these billion-dollar investments through their massive corporate entities and investment firms, rather than personal brokerage accounts.
A retain investor is an individual, non-professional investor who buys and sells securities through brokerages using personal funds.
tim333 3 hours ago
It's down to the balance between buyers and sellers. If you've got more selling than buying it'll go down but Musk has been remarkably good at keeping the buyers there.
_DeadFred_ 2 hours ago
Don't forget the amount of shares released to the market. That impacts the price dramatically as can be seen be all the 'stock buyback' manipulation of stock prices.
bilsbie 3 hours ago
Everything is ultimately valued by memes.
jpadkins 3 hours ago
money is just an idea that spreads (a meme).
jesse_dot_id 4 hours ago
If there is ever another depression, which seems highly probable at this point, the meme stocks will be the first ones down the toilet.
alpineman 3 hours ago
Sure until retail are forced to sell in an correction. Wealth destruction can happen very fast
Grombobulous 3 hours ago
Bitcoin isn’t valuable solely through memes, it’s also deflationary by design.
_DeadFred_ 2 hours ago
SPCX only floated a small amount of shares, and made the stock exchanges compete so that it would get to rig the system in a way. If funds have to buy SPCX + small share amount, it's going up. This is the reason stock buyback used to be illegal. It's purely market manipulation of share count, not market based on actual value.
throw310822 4 hours ago
As long as there is someone around who is very good at keeping the price inflated (and that in turn also because he did actually deliver extraordinary things, it's not just smoke and mirrors).
On the other hand, the fact that BTC has absolutely no intrinsic value can be an advantage over a real company, as it makes it more insulated from reality. Supply chain shock? No problem. Competition? Same. New technologies, political change? Neither.
jimnotgym 3 hours ago
USD has no intrinsic value either
catlikesshrimp 37 minutes ago
throwaway894345 3 hours ago
At least some of TSLA and SPCX value is derived from Musk's ability to purchase politicians to ensure the tax dollars keep flowing to them. Essentially, these ticker symbols are backed by the US government's ability to force us to give Musk's companies our money.
somenameforme 3 hours ago
The overwhelming majority of SpaceX holders are institutional. They had planned to allocate 30% to retail, but it ended up in the 20% range as a result of institutional demand. [1] No clue what's going on right now as their stock is going to the Moon. But in any case, I think the people that don't understand why it's doing well are mostly those who are unfamiliar with the space industry. SpaceX has already revolutionized space by dropping the cost to orbit by multiple orders of magnitude relative to the Space Shuttle, which it replaced. And it looks set to do that again with the Starship.
The main reason humanity hasn't meaningfully started expanding into space is because it used to cost $54,000 to get a liter of water into space. SpaceX brought that down to about $5000, and then further down to near $1400. That's a massive reduction in price, but you're still left with the problem that it costs $1400 to get a liter of water to space, which is why we still can't have nice things, yet.
Starship has the promise of bringing that down a couple of more orders of magnitude where the goal is to get it within the $10-$20 range. If they succeed, then you've just opened the doors to an entire new frontier of expansion and growth for humanity which is practically infinite. And right now there's no real reason to think that they won't succeed. And more importantly than this is that nobody seems to be able to compete on their level, or even remotely close. Their closest competitor is probably China who remains technologically well behind. And so SpaceX today is akin to being able to get a piece of some sort of super-ship making monopoly, just prior to the Age of Sail. The downside risk is basically zero since they're still making rapid progress - the only question is how rapid. And upside potential is basically infinite.
[1] - https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/11/spacex-cuts-retail-ipo-alloc...
cjrp 3 hours ago
> The main reason humanity hasn't meaningfully started expanding into space is because it used to cost $54,000 to get a liter of water into space.
Am I naive in thinking that we haven't expanded into space because we don't need to? What's the benefit?
ajmurmann 2 hours ago
ben_w 3 hours ago
andsoitis 3 hours ago
chrissnell 3 hours ago
CuriouslyC 3 hours ago
So, your argument for SpaceX is that they'll take physical systems that they've already tried to squeeze down, and squeeze them down nearly two orders of magnitude? What fundamental scientific discovery do you think is going to enable this? Or do you think that AI is magically going to do it for them?
somenameforme 3 hours ago
threetonesun 3 hours ago
You really think cost is the main reason humanity hasn't expanded into space? I'm all for space exploration and learning from space but actual humans are quite squishy, like gravity, dislike radiation, and would need to take a lot of water with them just to visit a rock very indifferent to their existence.
somenameforme 3 hours ago
brachkow 3 hours ago
> BTC essential is worth $70k solely through the power of memes
Like everything else in finance...
Saying this is not to defend all sorts of crypto-bros. The economy, especially one overly focused on publicly traded companies like the Western, and especially the US economy, is a meme economy.
Coffee, flats, healthcare, military spending, etc., of comparable quality in the abstract East, cost multiples less than in the EU/USA because they and their currencies are weak on memes.
DanielHB 4 hours ago
The limits are when companies and institutions start to default on their loans. Or, in the case of governments, trigger hyperinflation by printing money to pay off the debt.
Of course it can collapse before that, but if it gets to that point it is guaranteed to collapse.
jimnotgym 3 hours ago
But that won't happen while the share price keeps going up no matter what. Borrow more, secured against the massive unissued equity, or issue more shares.
kamaal 3 hours ago
>>Intuitively, it seems to me that there must necessarily be some kind of upper limit
I mentioned this in other thread(https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48514481), we are at runaway intelligence already.
Mostly because we are looping AI to fix problems, and then the same data is used to improve AI. There is no upper limit to this.
Taken to its logical conclusion, this process needs a hardware scale that might even look laughably huge at this point. Its fairly obvious space is going to play a big role in the coming times.
I could be wrong, and I humbly accept it when Im proven wrong. But it does feel like a lot of people in top places know we are going to need all the energy and resources space has to offer to run this runaway intelligence.
petesergeant 3 hours ago
> we are at runaway intelligence already. Mostly because we are looping AI to fix problems, and then the same data is used to improve AI. There is no upper limit to this.
I'm an AI booster, but this really doesn't follow. There's absolutely no guarantee that the marginal improvement from this continues to hold.
kamaal 3 hours ago
dist-epoch 4 hours ago
When you invest in TSLA and SPCX, you don't invest in a car and a rocket company, you invest in Elon Musk. So revenue, assets, are irrelevant.
fofoz 4 hours ago
You basically buy an asset whose risk is tied to a man's life.
alpineman 3 hours ago
cbeach 4 hours ago
hintymad 11 minutes ago
I wonder why IDEA didn't catch up with its own agent support and even their own models. It's not like agent harness is that hard to build, right? Or maybe they did, it's just that they haven't won the hearts and minds of the developers like Cursor did?
robeym 3 hours ago
Cursor was my first hands-on experience with AI. I didn't know much about getting set up with specific providers via API, and Cursor made it easy to pick any model, ask a question about some code, and get a clear suggested answer easily viewable in the IDE with an 'accept' or 'reject' button. I think they answered this question well: "How do normal developers want to interact with AI?"
I moved away from Cursor when I noticed the responses from specific models were not as clean or accurate as when I'd prompt the models directly, which was something I didn't know how to do early on. I hypothesized that they had some boilerplate prompt sitting atop of my own, causing less precise or desirable results.
I would assume Cursor is still one of the best options for normal developers to get started with AI, but with Copilot forcing their foot in the door at many companies, I wasn't sure how well it would fare on its own. Being acquired by SpaceX should help, and I'll be interested to follow along and see how things develop.
cj 3 hours ago
> Being acquired by SpaceX should help
Why? (Genuinely curious, I would have assumed the opposite)
robeym 3 hours ago
My opinion is that the publicity can only help Cursor. I don't necessarily think SpaceX would make Cursor better. Copilot (which I view as a direct competitor to Cursor) has a huge structural advantage. I have several friends in various American companies where Microsoft products are all they are allowed to use. They get "free" Copilot access as a part of their Microsoft plans. Developers aren't having Cursor placed right in front of them in the same way Copilot is, and from my experience, when developers have the choice to pick one, they pick Cursor. So, I just feel the SpaceX/xAI publicity could help Cursor get more visibility in these general American software companies more so than they could on their own.
greenoracle9 5 hours ago
$60B is a huge price, but buying Cursor gives Musk something xAI has struggled to build: a popular coding product with real developer and enterprise adoption. It may be the fastest way to catch up in AI coding. The real question is whether SpaceX ownership improves Cursor or drives its users away.
afavour an hour ago
> The real question is whether SpaceX ownership improves Cursor or drives its users away.
I know I'll sound hyperbolic but I'm deeply skeptical of the way anything Musk-owned is going to treat private data. I think he wouldn't hesitate to dig into it if it were to his benefit, even if there was an agreement against it. For that reason alone it makes Cursor look worse to me.
esskay an hour ago
> The real question is whether SpaceX ownership improves Cursor or drives its users away.
I can't speak for anyone else but I wont be renewing my sub. Funding anything Musk related isn't exactly high up on my list of desires, and theres ample alternatives out there.
doom2 3 hours ago
I think it'd be an enormous endorsement of Cursor/xAI and proof of improvement if SpaceX started using it to code the mission critical software running on Falcon 9. Which other AI company can say their models powered a rocket launch?
(mostly /s but I know I'd give it another look if it was that good)
thinkingtoilet 2 hours ago
> Which other AI company can say their models powered a rocket launch?
Honestly, probably all of them. I imagine those coders are using all the tools they have available and are using Claude and ChatGPT as well as internal tools.
Sammi 4 hours ago
My sense is that enterprises are extremely cautious. They like everything that is already common and hr friendly. They abhor anything that might be seen as divisive and controversial. That's why they're currently going with Anthropic and not Openai or Xai or anything Chinese. It's the smaller actors that are using everything but Anthropic. Anthropic got that safe enterprise bland vibe. The only pr trouble Anthropic is in is with saying no to the military, which just makes them even more enterprise safe. Meanwhile Sam Altman and Elon are out there freaking out the enterprises almost every day it seems like.
dixie_land 2 hours ago
Fable got halted by US make it a moot point but none enterprise is happy about the forced (and unannounced) 30-day data rentention
giancarlostoro an hour ago
jacobgorm 16 minutes ago
I just uninstalled it FWIW.
stryakr 2 hours ago
I can't imagine that any of the cautious companies or ones with their ear to the ground are going to want to cozy up to cursor with this acquisition; I'd suspect we'd see some exodus as well given the relationship to Musk.
firemelt 7 minutes ago
I really dont get the point of cursor, I always find it subpar product too, but damn they are all got acquired congrats
MinimalAction 4 minutes ago
Interesting that they disclose this right after IPO.
yoyohello13 22 minutes ago
I don’t really understand what the value prop of cursor is, it must be the data and models. These days programmable editors like neovim and emacs have a huge advantage. I’ve had ai create several custom plugins to have my editor do whatever I can think of. Just ask Claude code, hey I want to do x, y, z, it spits out some lua and I have a new capability. I don’t know why anyone would want to be limited by an extension interface at this point.
WhatIsDukkha 5 minutes ago
>I don’t really understand what the value prop of cursor is, it must be the data and models.
The simpler answer is that there is almost no value outside of buying some customers.
As you've proven to yourself the engineering work is doable on your own.
I've made my own agent and wired it to emacs via ACP... 60 billion in value, ok... sure...
yanis_t 5 hours ago
$60b is crazy.
Cursor is an extension for VS Code, a harness and a bunch of prompts.
They have their own model (Composer 2) which is based Kimi K2.5, but I don't think SpaceX would be interested in it.
If they need a harness for grok, they could fork PI.
What are they after for here? Customer base? Talent?
kjksf 4 hours ago
Cursor has $4 billion annual revenue rate so $60b is 15 years of future cashflows.
That's not crazy because if past predicts the future, that revenue will grow quickly. At $8 billion/year it's just 7.5 years, which is a reasonable investment.
acc_297 2 hours ago
This is a linear regression relying on a couple years of data to predict 15 years in the future and I don't believe that the valuation is made on this basis.
It may be that spaceX is buying an operation that would realistically take 5 months and 100 million to copy in-house for 60B because the worry is that waiting 5 months might cost that much in some sort of lost opportunity. It also might be that in any negotiation SpaceX is viewed as incredibly cash-rich and so anything can be sold to them for inflated prices.
I really don't understand these companies valuations it seems like boardrooms everywhere are in a constant state of panic that they'll lose it all if they aren't growing a breakneck pace constantly.
bean469 an hour ago
> Cursor has $4 billion annual revenue rate so $60b is 15 years of future cashflows.
This assumes that Cursor's annual revenue will be the same or higher for over a decade. It's not really like they don't have competitors
winter_blue 30 minutes ago
That revenue number is almost meaningless, since they give out tokens at a loss. Especially with Composer 2.5 tokens are sold at a steep loss. They could certainly grow to $8 billion/year, with this negative revenue / heavily subsidized subs, but what will happen if Cursor decide to be profitable, or maybe to even just break even?
potatototoo99 3 hours ago
Not annual, annualized. Let's see if people stick to it knowing it belongs to Musk now.
0xy 2 hours ago
funnym0nk3y 2 hours ago
If past predicts the future people will drop it once it is in Musks hands. And as a token reseller that revenue is not that impressive.
mdavid626 2 hours ago
Is that profits or revenue? :-)
turtlesdown11 38 minutes ago
revenue ≠ future cashflows
wayeq an hour ago
> What are they after for here? Customer base? Talent?
users
pietz 5 hours ago
It's a crazy number especially since Cursor feels kinda dead. Few thoughts from the other side:
- xAI needs the coding related data to compete with Claude Code and Codex
- Recent progress with Composer 2.5 seems promising given the size
- The may get a comeback on the smaller than Enterprise battle field now that the other two got so expensive
- The way that Elon set up this entire process was quite genius. They locked in this option before, and now after the gains through the IPO, it feels almost like a discount, lol
BoumTAC 5 hours ago
Compose 2.5 is the default model in Grok Build. And it's quite incredible. It's comparable to Opus 4.7 but faster and incredibly cheaper .
datsci_est_2015 4 hours ago
I could see it being a talent / first mover acquisition. I’m bullish on harnesses, but I think there’s still a very long road to get to something that is stable and relatively optimal - harness user experience is pretty trash tier right now imo.
My hot take is that it will probably be like the OS landscape:
- Some established enterprise option (Windows)
- Quality secondary option for professionals (OS X)
- Super users / nerds / tinkerers (Unix flavors)hagbarth 5 hours ago
Well. $60b in bloated stock is probably much better than the $10b cash penalty for not going through with the deal.
dubeye 5 hours ago
shocked that an engineer would not mention user numbers or revenue growth in their analysis
827a 4 hours ago
You clearly have not used Cursor lately. It’s substantially more than all that. It’s not a VSCode extension anymore.
ArtificlObstcl 5 hours ago
Usage data.
chris_money202 2 hours ago
Exactly that is the current value, although not sure if its worth 60B
lucasacosta_ 14 minutes ago
I run Claude Code in cmux with Soonpatch and that's it. I tried looking at Cursor but honestly it wasn't providing any value and I prefer being 100% up to date with CC updates/interface
wxw 2 hours ago
Hm, surprised at all the Cursor hate here. Tab complete, at the quality they delivered, was a game changer back in the day.
And their current work on Composer is great. Composer is super fast and quality is decent. More competition in the model space always welcome.
valarauko an hour ago
"Back in the day" is the key idea here. It's the valuation that doesn't make sense in today's market. What does Cursor offer to be valued at $60 BILLION? Its models are alright but nowhere near SOTA, and pretty much superseded by open source local models at this point.
zpeti an hour ago
Composer 2.5 worked just as well for me as opus 4.6, and was faster and actually worked better for quick bugfixes and reporting back to support. And is much cheaper.
I'm not saying HN should be super supportive of everything, but the level of hate and complete loss of reality for a lot of people is quite sad to see, for a community of supposedly intelligent people.
infecto 2 hours ago
HN is a hellhole of either AI hate or hype. The fringes on either side are the loudest.
sreekanth850 18 minutes ago
I had high hopes in Antigravity and Gemini, but they royally screwed up everything to such a level that the only worth plan is to use free plan for creating docs.
PUSH_AX 6 hours ago
In related news, I'm open to suggestions for coding agent harnesses.
jacobgold 13 minutes ago
I'm very curious what coding agent interfaces other HN users are using.
I run a bunch of Claude / Codex TUIs + vim in terminal tabs on i3 workspaces on Linux whch I know isn't the most common.
higginsniggins 3 hours ago
Theres several open source options you can use.
The highest github stars one is called `zed` another one i've heard about is `Cline`
theirs also a few that yc backed ones:
`Void`
`Continue`
`PearAI`
For what its worth the non yc ones have way more github stars but im sure the yc ones are good too. I think `Continue` is the biggest yc one.
cornhole 14 minutes ago
continue is eol after being acquired by cursor/spacex https://www.continue.dev/
samtp 30 minutes ago
I've used Cline for a year now and very happy with it. Fits my workflow really well
rcleveng an hour ago
and PearAI was just a fork of Continue with not much changed other than the license and removing the words continue.
Also OpenCode and Kilo seem popular as well.
yoyohello13 29 minutes ago
Nvim + Claude code. Or zed. Honestly basically every ide is adding agent harness features as their primary focus right now. Just throw a rock and you’ll hit something that will work for you. You can even just use emacs and have ai build harness features for you.
mackenney 6 hours ago
Happy pi.dev user here, give it a try! I would say that's kind of the "vim experience" but for harnesses: has the minimum, if you want something more you extend it :)
iamsaitam 2 hours ago
Saying it gives "the minimum" is generous, it's pretty much useless out of the box. And did I say slow as well? I think pi is great if you're into spending your time managing your harness rather than using it. In that regard, it's more like neovim.
mkj 6 hours ago
I'm wondering who's going to buy pi!
(Edit sorry forgetting names, I mean who's going to buy Earendil). Good luck to Armin, he's done some good stuff.
uaksom 5 hours ago
skybrian 41 minutes ago
If you're open to using remote Linux VM's and a web-based interface, I quite like exe.dev and Shelley.
agentcooper 5 hours ago
At Poolside we have pool (https://github.com/poolsideai/pool), it runs in a terminal and you can use it with any Agent Client Protocol compatible agent (https://agentclientprotocol.com/get-started/agents).
_pdp_ 5 hours ago
Since you've asked, I am working on one but it is super early days so I am just posting it here for feedback.
The idea is to make it fully autonomous so it is not really something that is meant to be constantly prompted and it is unlikely to fit most workflows but the idea is to make something that fits the future - not the present.
Klathmon 5 hours ago
I've been pretty damn happy with codex and vscode.
Between the codex app, cli, and vscode extension there are options for most ways of working
heisgone 5 hours ago
Codex UI is great. It just make sense for an AI tool.
jofzar 5 hours ago
Been very impressed by the codex app tbh
oneshtein 5 hours ago
dizhn 5 hours ago
Paseo with opencode backing.
deadbabe 2 hours ago
pi is for real engineers
syngrog66 5 hours ago
vim
bilalq an hour ago
What are the alternatives to Graphite these days? Github's stacked PR support is still immature, AFAIK. I would love to see Linear move into this space and start offering both git hosting and stacked PR management.
atombender 42 minutes ago
My team uses git-spice [1], which is client-side only and works just as well as Graphite.
Aviator [2] is also good, and they have a hosted UI with merge queue support as well.
osigurdson 2 hours ago
Are people still using Cursor? I haven't in at least a year but perhaps I'm in the minority.
maerF0x0 2 hours ago
Yes. I like it for small fixes, specifying exact code ranges i want touched, and for asking questions because it links me to the code so I can read it.
I use Claude more for greenfield feature building where I dont need to surgically dig in and view existing code specifics.
esskay an hour ago
Yup still got it due to paying for a year up front, its still very decent, especially the newer composer 2.5 model, it's cheap and has a ton of usage included so works well as a general day to day tool.
guidedlight 5 hours ago
Does anyone here think Cursor is overvalued? It's just packaging up what already exists, it has no moat or IP.
pavlov 5 hours ago
They're getting paid in extremely overvalued stock, so maybe it balances out.
This is not really a diss on SpaceX either because a lot of IPOs go through an immediate pop and then 1-2 years of doldrums as lockouts expire and promises aren't quite delivered.
Nobody knows what 60 billion in SpaceX stock today will be worth when Cursor insiders finally get to sell (at least a year from now, after other SpaceX insiders have started selling).
bix6 4 hours ago
Source on the lockup for Cursor insiders?
cik 4 hours ago
bilekas 4 hours ago
UqWBcuFx6NV4r 4 hours ago
sigmoid10 4 hours ago
Well, the people who bought the SpaceX IPO essentially footed the entire bill here. And they might still make money on it, depending on how the stock goes from here on. I don't see anyone who could lose here, even if the bubble bursts, apart from the Cursor people. And they are likely still going to make a huge amount of money.
bilekas 4 hours ago
nbardy 4 hours ago
No, look a Composoer 2, it stands out starkly on its own in the pareto frontier on low cast and fast models.
Composer 2.5 was a huge leap with minimal compute from xAI.
They can compete with OpenAI and anthropic with xAI scale compute. They have a top notch model team and incredible training data and huge enterprise costumer contracts.
trial3 4 hours ago
my employer (one of those huge contracts) dropped cursor in favor of claude and i don’t think this is true at all
while we had it i used cursor for probably eight months as my main ide (i did really like the interface for embedding code in prompts!) but had no problems switching to claude code. i asked around, and i truly don’t know a single coworker who misses cursor even a little bit.
JoshStrobl 4 hours ago
trollbridge 4 hours ago
Composer 2.5 Fast is particularly good.
For someone who is new to agentic code or is generally somewhat junior, Cursor is very easy to get started with and is generally fairly frustration-free.
I use a cheap $20 subscription mostly for occasional use of Opus and Composer.
SpaceX made a smart move here. Someone else should have really seen the opportunity and bought them.
whywhywhywhy 3 hours ago
Composer 2.5 is just a repackaged chinese model, Kimi IIRC
malfist 4 hours ago
How the hell is an IDE a "pareto frontier"? Even if, say composer 2.5 is a huge leap forward, that doesn't mean IntelliJ or Vim or Emacs or Codex got worse.
IDE improvements are not a zero sum game.
lallysingh 4 hours ago
Der_Einzige 4 hours ago
This is delusional. Composer 2.5 is trash compared even to haiku let alone opus.
infecto 3 hours ago
CuriouslyC 3 hours ago
puszczyk 3 hours ago
It doesn’t tell anything about the valuation, but I prefer it over Claude Code, and I even stopped using JetBrains IDEs because of it.
Vs Claude Code: I like the option to change the models, as I often prefer ChatGPT or Composer to Opus. I have a slight preference towards TUI, but not so strong to drop the models.
Vs JetBrains. I really love JetBrains but the tab complete just works so well for me.
firemelt 2 minutes ago
why u prefer cursor over claude code?
firemelt 3 minutes ago
obivously is overvalued
vorticalbox 5 hours ago
its not just the models, their auto complete is actually really good. when you make a change it will give you "tab to next" which makes refactors super easy.
composer 2.5 is also a very decent model, it go 90% of my AI tasks using it now.
iterateoften 4 hours ago
So 60B dollars and your primary reason it’s worth that is “tab to next” autocomplete?
ambicapter 4 hours ago
Johnny_Bonk 4 hours ago
vachina 4 hours ago
carlosjobim 4 hours ago
raverbashing 4 hours ago
stephc_int13 4 hours ago
I tried it a few times and was not convinced by the autocomplete.
I found it less effective than free copilot autocomplete on vanilla VSCode.
stefan_ 4 hours ago
Yes, that's why Cursor was very popular when actually reading model output paragraph by paragraph was still the way you used them. That's no longer the case, their use has cratered, and in fact they have been disintermediated by their model vendors, leaving an empty shell.
pavlov 4 hours ago
dakolli 4 hours ago
composer 2.5 is literally just a fine-tuned kimi model, and the autocomplete is exteremly meh.
The only kind of AI I want in my editor is an autocomplete, but this isn't very magical to non-programmers (their TAM) or all that valuable (you can't charge thousands), they bought Supermaven and basically killed it, I'm not sure how you think tab is really good, I've not been impressed when I played around with it.
infecto 3 hours ago
infecto 3 hours ago
Could not say on the valuation front. The one thing that is obvious is the trash talkers love to point out how horrible it is but I have yet to find a compelling replacement. Obviously Claude Code works but at least for me I never got along with the CLI workflow very well and sure I could use vs code with the extension for Claude but then I lose tab autocompletes which I actually like. I have yet to see anyone build a derivative model like composer 2 that is quick, cheap and has higher reliability on tool call use. Again I don’t know on valuation but it’s pretty impressive how far they have come. I look at Jetbrains and at least from an AI perspective they have been left in the dust.
arend321 4 hours ago
Cursor was nice when I was still meticulously hand coding my stack, fantastic autocomplete. With today's top models, I barely write code myself, just review commits. Cursor eats Opus credits like there is no tomorrow. Composer has been a net negative in my experience. All in on Codex with GPT 5.5 on high using /fast.
agluszak 4 hours ago
IMO composer 2.5 is pretty good, and the $20 Cursor plan gives you _way_ more tokens than Codex/Claude code/Antigravity
nerdsniper 4 hours ago
arend321 4 hours ago
Der_Einzige 4 hours ago
ubercore 4 hours ago
Cursor, from my companies perspective at least, seems to be handling charming leadership to get enterprise AI contracts in place, compared to the alternatives. That's feeling like the moat from my first-hand experience. Easy single contract that covers a lot of AI cases that management wants to say they have in place.
internet101010 4 hours ago
Cursor's moat is that it is a virus that infects organizations through shared skills, hooks, agents, etc.. Once one person uses it and infects the repo everyone else starts using it.
swader999 4 hours ago
Maybe, but migration from/to anything is so much easier now with Agents.
basisword 4 hours ago
Know a few companies that have moved from it fully to Claude. It’s still early so the moving cost is low and Claude Cowork is something non-tech employees can make use of much easier than Cursor. I really don’t see what Curor’s value is longer term. Why pay a middle man?
sscarduzio 4 hours ago
I don't. Cursor being a man in the middle between coders and other people models for so long, has so much more training data than anyone else in the world.
boroboro4 36 minutes ago
There is obvious proxy to the amount of training data - revenue. And I think anthropic is way ahead of them.
josh-sematic 2 hours ago
In terms of whether they’re overvalued: probably. But any valuation should also take into account the value they have to x.ai (also under SpaceX) as a source of training data for coding models.
tipiirai 5 hours ago
Yes. I think Cursor is overvalued, but not to the extent of SpaceX
mohamedkoubaa 4 hours ago
Maybe it's just the US dollar that is overvalued
CuriouslyC 3 hours ago
swader999 4 hours ago
I do think this has had its day. From what I remember, Cursor was useful back in the day when you coded in an IDE and wanted to read code while you baby stepped through incremental changes with an AI. I'm tempted to put /sarc around this but not really...
aprentic 3 hours ago
I like Cursor but that valuation is a hard sell.
Their valuation should be very closely tied to how how many tokens it takes to get from Void to Cursor.
If those values diverge by much, something is rotten in the state of Denmark.
mindwok 4 hours ago
They have a surprising amount of enterprise revenue and mindshare, of which xAI has literally none.
generalpf 4 hours ago
Cursor Remote Agents are important to our AI orchestration layer. It's possible that Claude can do this directly but Cursor Remote Agents made this laughably easy.
manojlds 4 hours ago
Composer is very good, and these days after heavily using CC, Pi and Open code I am back with Cursor. "No moat or IP" is underrating it a lot.
m00dy 4 hours ago
CC on Deepseek is a moat.
ArneCode 4 hours ago
they propably have a lot of training data from their users, which might be useful for SpaceX which has a lot of compute
newaccountman2 4 hours ago
It's not true it has zero moat or IP (they have their own LLM and it is useful), but it is indeed way over-valued.
petesergeant 3 hours ago
There's a plausible synergy in it for xAI though. Access to reams of training data for a company whose marginal cost of compute is very very low, and that they can use as a channel to push Grok. I don't think it's worth anywhere near this much to anyone else, but to xAI it's at least possible.
whatever1 4 hours ago
Every single one?
oulipo2 3 hours ago
I guess they're getting bought because they had access to a lot of codebases from a lot of companies, and perhaps there's something to mine in those logs...
sixothree 4 hours ago
They have the conversation history of every person that has used their product. That's worth something.
dist-epoch 4 hours ago
Sounds like what people here said 20 years ago about Google buying YouTube, or 10 years ago about Facebook buying Instagram - companies with no moats and huge infrastructure costs.
To paraphrase, the biggest trick the devil pulled is convincing founders they need a moat.
formvoltron 4 hours ago
None of that really matters.
What matters is that this has enough "future story value" to keep the few investors invested... allowing for the planned index funds to buy into the overvalued stock & allowing for the largest heist in the history of money.
It's become pure hype and drama on the global stock market stage.
lotsofpulp 4 hours ago
Transactions that happen out in the open, with the consent of all parties are not a heist.
formvoltron 20 minutes ago
amanaplanacanal 4 hours ago
philipwhiuk 5 hours ago
Grok needs a coding environment play to match Claude Code - that's what this is.
And AI companies are not short of capital.
ulfw 5 hours ago
So is 'Space'X. They fit perfectly
draxil a minute ago
rip off.
itsmarcelg 7 hours ago
These are the SEC filings that confirms the merger:
Announcement of Cursor acquisition to SpaceX
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1181412/000162828026...
Details of Acquisition
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1181412/000162828026...
tptacek 6 hours ago
For what it's worth, this was effectively announced months ago, and at this valuation.
rvz 5 hours ago
But they (SpaceX) could have backed out of the deal at any given time as they had the option to (and be required to pay the 10B break up fee). Nobody knew what would happen at the time.
This announcement is a definitive agreement of the acquisition at that $60B valuation.
tptacek 5 hours ago
Sure, not saying there's no news hook here.
Sammi 4 hours ago
Yes, that's what was said basically. The pedantry is not adding anything to the conversation.
rvz 3 hours ago
dolkycape 6 hours ago
That's a lot of money for a buggy product that is at best slightly better than its competitors.
ojr 11 minutes ago
This truly shows how king making in venture capital is done, kids have the MIT pedigree but sometimes this is not enough for certain demographics, give them a ton of money to explore ideas and pivot, product is a vscode fork that sells subsidized AI, only possible with venture capital. Providing inference at unsustainable rate deemed as "product market fit". Product loses money until they exit.
VCs that say "I always knew the team was special", give me a break.
aqme28 4 hours ago
Well, when your stock is massively overpriced it's a smart time to buy stuff with it.
1970-01-01 3 hours ago
How does this get a Starship to land on Mars or coast-to-coast full self driving? $60,000,000,000 towards one of those goals would have checked-off one of those boxes.
suzukivenom 5 hours ago
paying 60bn for a dev team that wrapped vs is insane.
StrLght 5 hours ago
How about paying 60 billion for a bunch of enterprise contracts?
everforward 21 minutes ago
I suspect these won't be as sticky as the contracts you're thinking of. Oracle and Microsoft can run on that because their products aren't compatible with anything else so migrating is a huge pain.
Cursor doesn't really have that. We've got it at $DAYJOB but it's not even the only one, I can also use Zed or Codex or Claude or probably a half dozen other things I don't even know about.
I suspect a lot of companies have that right now because the market for AI is so volatile, and in the near future will trim that down to a couple of tools and Cursor doesn't have much to keep them at the top of the list imo.
I also wouldn't pay 60 billion for a bunch of enterprise contracts that have to compete against Microsoft. No one is dropping Microsoft as a vendor, and they have the ability to up the prices for stuff people need like Office and use that to make Copilot free. If times get tough and companies need to cut costs, it's a lot easier to part ways with Cursor than Microsoft.
wat10000 4 hours ago
Or paying ~300 million virtual slips of paper that the market says are currently worth $60 billion.
bluescrn 3 hours ago
About 4x what they've spent on Starship development so far.
They're not a space company any more. They're just part of the AI bubble.
chvid 5 hours ago
Not bad for a VS Code fork and a Chinese LLM fine tune.
giancarlostoro 5 hours ago
I wonder where they will take this, if they'll use the Cursor team to help make Grok Build (which is not just a tool like Claude Code, but an actual Grok model too) more refined for programming? Would make sense to me, and in turn also provide Cursor with more compute they can use.
Maxious 4 hours ago
> For the past few months, SpaceXAI has been jointly training a model with Cursor, which will be released in Cursor and Grok Build soon.
shimman 3 hours ago
They'll likely just take all the various enterprise contracts to help inflate SpaceX earnings, that's the only reason why you'd buy this if you were Musk. Need to help keep the lie going as long as you're still alive.
alephnerd 5 hours ago
It also provides xAI with a pre-existing enterprise distribution channel. At the end of the day, distribution is equally as important as the underlying product itself and in some cases is even more critical.
giancarlostoro 4 hours ago
I think that's another thing, while I would like to test Grok more, the Grok AI plans are very generic and not tailored specifically for programming, which is frustrating because I get maybe 8 hours out of Grok for $40 for an entire month, I do wonder if they offered a "Grok Build only plan" if it would actually give me access to more compute. Maybe they intend on making it through Cursor.
I do hope that Cursor doesn't remove any of its current model offerings, and just offers Grok Build in addition to what they already offer, in my opinion unless most of their clients "switch" to Grok (like metrics show they're mostly using Grok vs other models), it would make more sense.
bigbluedots 5 hours ago
No company that uses Cursor now is going to be ok with using xAI models.
alephnerd 4 hours ago
Leonard_of_Q 4 hours ago
bobkb 27 minutes ago
Will cursor launch a CLI tool like Claude/codex/opencode/pi ?
thisisit 26 minutes ago
Grok has its own CLI tool called Grok Build: https://x.ai/news/grok-build-cli
mattnewton 24 minutes ago
they have had one for a while now. https://cursor.com/cli
agluszak 26 minutes ago
They already have. https://cursor.com/cli
macwhisperer 30 minutes ago
ai is like the first technology with a conversational service manual inside it..
you should be foaming at the mouth to use claude or codex to make a custom harness, just for your own personal use with local models...
alex1138 7 minutes ago
Our Beautiful Journey
tippa123 5 hours ago
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47855293
Initial announcement back in April
__alexs 5 hours ago
I like Cursor as a product but the add on cost of $0.25/M tokens is just too expensive on top of the models.
dakolli 4 hours ago
Yeah, I don't understand how this business model continues to produce revenue.
cryptonym 4 hours ago
Revenue? In that industry?
hootz 5 hours ago
Ugh, I'm already tired of seeing ads everywhere for Cursor about how you can build EVERYTHING and solve all problems using their agentic IDE, so now I have even more reasons to dislike SpaceX too.
peterspath an hour ago
Good hopefully Grok Build gets better and they start to innovate in this area. Claude Code and ChatGPT need more competition. So that they also innovate more.
mhl47 2 hours ago
Everybody remember when Zuckerberg told in an Interview in 2024 that human data does not matter that much or more specifically "individual creators or publishers tend to overestimate the value of their specific content". Something along the line RL-Loops are more important.
Hard to square this with that acquisition which seems to be focused on Cursors vast amount of User Data.
At least for now.
pizzafeelsright 2 hours ago
Zuck is correct because the barrier to a large user base is not skill but market share which requires substantial effort, luck, timing, and patience.
Nobody can put a dent into Coca Cola because of their market. Better products exist but there is really no way to compete against $5 billion in marketing allowing them to maintain $50 billion.
Cursor is ~1MM users a day. $60k/per user is high but considering this is a stock buy, Space X "made" $300BN in the first day that is ~20% or one day of positive movement.
For Musk (with his baggage) to create or steer that user base would require a significant investment and time. Why not just slap some coupons from an initial bump to acquire the user base, user experience, and IP?
whatsakandr 5 hours ago
I wonder how much zed industries is being valued at.
yalogin 2 hours ago
What does cursor have? An ide and coding orchestration? They are using Claude or codex for llms, so they get acquired for their user base and tooling? Feels like a lot of money for that given Claude has the majority mindshare.
connicpu 2 hours ago
They have a giant pile of data from every customer that didn't disable data retention
theturtletalks an hour ago
I keep hearing this but they’ve been bleeding users since Claude Code came out so a bulk of their data is pre-Sonnet 4 and I’m not sure how the data from users prompting weaker models will help them now?
They did use that data to make Composer 2.5 which was decent but still a step back from GPT 5.5 and Opus 4.8. Though it’s really good at UI.
esskay 2 hours ago
They technically have their own models as well, but they are based on other peoples models.
Most of this is just customers + staff/tech rather than models being acquired. Cursors actually got so much better in the last year. Their composer 2 model (a tweaked version of Kimi K2.5) is decent for day to day mundane tasks and the app can auto switch to more capable models when needed.
notarobot123 2 hours ago
> What does cursor have?
users
infecto 2 hours ago
People keep saying this but I have yet to find an integrated system that has good tab completion, cheap coding models and works well in an IDE. There are a number of options out there, none of them have captured much market share.
giancarlostoro an hour ago
Zed seems to always suggest decent single-line comments for me, but I don't really use Zed for that that often.
infecto an hour ago
suncemoje an hour ago
Isn't tab completion long dead?
infecto an hour ago
jstummbillig an hour ago
Customers, talent, training data, an increasingly competitive coding model and now a fuckton of compute.
So, you know. Couple of things.
Specially given that coding turns out to not be all that complicated, in the grand scheme of AI things: I don't think it's going take much more advances at the frontier before code writing will be as good as it need to be. At that point Composer (their model) catches up, what, 6 month later and they good.
rustystump 2 hours ago
I dont think so. I strongly prefer cursor over claude code and the composer model is basically unlimited and free also being super fast.
Of all the ai companies out there, anthropic and cursor are the two id invest in.
pseudosavant an hour ago
The have customers actually willing to use and pay for their service.
In a world where even Microsoft is needing to use AWS for capacity beyond Azure, xAI's utilization of their data centers has been so low that they are renting them out to competitors instead.
Nobody wants Grok. If you aren't using GPT-5 or Claude, you are probably using an open Chinese model like Qwen hosted by some provider.
I would expect Cursor to be forced to use the Grok Code models in short order. We'll see how people feel about "Mecha Hitler" writing their code.
ma2kx an hour ago
Look at it the other way: What did Musk get last Friday? $75B from the SpaceX IPO.
It's almost like giving a toddler $100 in the toy department and seeing what happens next.
jacobgold an hour ago
Musk bought Cursor for its users (lots of devs still use it), as part of yet another attempt at catching up after building Grok and buying OpenAI failed.
Likely, Cursor becomes Grok Desktop or whatever, and eventually uses xAI's coding model if they can make a competitive one.
tim-tday an hour ago
Anyone recommend an alternatives? For no particular reason I’m canceling my cursor subscription today.
SwellJoe 30 minutes ago
Everyone I work with who used Cursor stopped using Cursor when Claude Code came along. They're back to their regular IDE when the need to read code, or they just review it at PR time. I never used Cursor, but Zed is my favorite editor with an agent. It can use Claude Code, among other CLIs, via ACP, so you can use rolling subscription tokens, or it can use OpenRouter or others if you want a broad spectrum of models. And it's crazy fast. It used to be that Copilot Pro was the best deal on agentic coding with several models from several vendors available, but they've really nerfed it, with uselessly restrictive token budgets and only older models are now available from the major labs. These days, might as well just have a Claude or Codex subscription and use the CLI with ACP in whatever editor you prefer.
jjcm 44 minutes ago
If you want something price-competitive with composer 2.5, deepseek pro is very cost-effective. Just rig it up in opencode via openrouter.
winter_blue 33 minutes ago
Composer 2.5 is very heavily discounted with a Cursor subscription. You effectively pay 2% of the API price of Composer 2.5 Fast with a subscription.
Does Deepseek offer any discounted tokens subscription like that?
behnamoh 37 minutes ago
Don't use OpenRouter, the company is a shitty middle man. Use DeepSeek API directly.
anderber 36 minutes ago
Opencode with an Opencode Go subscription is a great deal.
verdverm 29 minutes ago
Second this
samtp 41 minutes ago
I've been really liking the Cline extension in VS Code
iconicBark 43 minutes ago
Completely valid way to sign out!
yoyohello13 32 minutes ago
Check out zed
tippa123 6 hours ago
Not sure how this closes the gap to Anthropic and OpenAI for xAI. Is there a play that I am overlooking?
If this acquisition goes through the only winner here is Cursor, especially since CC and Codex are chipping away at Cursor very hard!
srameshc 19 minutes ago
At this point, money and rationality does not make sense to me, rather beyond my ability to understand. But I feel it is all about accounting and writing off eventually and a few profiting from it, not the retail investors for sure. Again I am just saying what I think and there could be no rational to my thought process.
sidewndr46 5 hours ago
When does the Tesla acquisition get announced?
baggachipz 4 hours ago
Within the month. They'll probably try to do it sooner while the stock is at a high.
claw-el 3 hours ago
Or do it when the prices are starting to show weakness
welhoilija 5 hours ago
Cursor's value add as a developer seems much slimmer than the 60bn price tag justifies, but I guess they have a lot of data from the non private usage which bumps the value up?
The product itself is practically a vscode wrapper with Agent implementation and K2.5 forked model (composer).
roxolotl 6 hours ago
Wow they are using 80% of what they raised 4 days ago to buy an IDE. Absolutely incredible.
kjksf 4 hours ago
Per latest reporting, Cursor's current annual revenue rate is $4 billion.
So SpaceX is buying 15 years of future cashflows, assuming no change in revenue. Which is bad assumption given past growth was gigantic.
They are also buying 300-400 employees with proven record of training good coding models.
Their expertise will be used to improve Grok Build coding agent.
Also, they're using stock, not cash, so effectively they doubled the amount of money raised.
ubertaco 4 hours ago
>Their expertise will be used to improve Grok Build coding agent.
Is Grok not a toxic enough brand (by association with Musk) that people who would use Cursor wouldn't avoid Grok?
Like, the assumption seems to be that all the goodwill that Cursor users have towards Cursor will now apply automatically to Grok, which seems like a pretty significant leap.
indoordin0saur 2 hours ago
senordevnyc 2 hours ago
porridgeraisin 4 hours ago
esskay an hour ago
> They are also buying 300-400 employees with proven record of training good coding models.
Are they? Their Composer 2.5 models is based on Kimi K2.5, it's not a bespoke model.
shoeb00m an hour ago
TrackerFF an hour ago
Tbh I don't know if we can use traditional DCF calculations for things like this.
The main challenge is: If models get better, why would humans need a tool like cursor, when they have AI agents doing the coding for them?
afavour an hour ago
> So SpaceX is buying 15 years of future cashflows, assuming no change in revenue. Which is bad assumption given past growth was gigantic.
I'd argue it's a bad assumption in the opposite direction. There's no moat. People can and will switch tooling and Cursor could easily be left with a steep decline in users.
dmurvihill an hour ago
ARR is best month times twelve, not revenue per year.
ndr an hour ago
an0malous an hour ago
funnym0nk3y 2 hours ago
But revenue is not really the informative quantity. If you sell gold you will have a huge revenue, but very little profit. I can be a trillion dollar company too if we exchange dollar bills for face value.
chris_money202 2 hours ago
"training good coding models" many would say that is a highly debatable statement, and some would say that is just flat out not true. Cursor has not trained a frontier model from scratch, what they did was take an already made (non-frontier) model and further trained it on their user data about coding outcomes from its coding agent. So, a form of distillation and RL.
flakeoil an hour ago
Revenue is not the same as cashflow.
HarHarVeryFunny 5 hours ago
It's $60B in SPCX stock, not in cash.
https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/16/spacex-to-acquire-cursor-f...
rchaud 5 hours ago
Guess Musk figured out that paying all cash to acquire something was a bad idea.
HarHarVeryFunny 5 hours ago
ActionHank 5 hours ago
Not even an IDE. A workflow built on top of an opensource editor.
irjustin 6 hours ago
Unsure if you're serious, but if you are, they wouldn't buy with cash, at least not the vast majority of it.
blitzar 5 hours ago
Its an all stonks deal.
vanuatu an hour ago
its for the distribution, talent, proprietary data. spacex has the compute, and elon wants to win in AI.
bsenftner 6 hours ago
Money laundry
aenis 6 hours ago
Nope. They pay with the monopoly money, dilluting the shareholders.
outside1234 14 minutes ago
Github Copilot is so much better than Cursor and a worldwide sales team. This acquisition has no chance.
sibellavia 3 hours ago
Related:
> For the past few months, SpaceXAI has been jointly training a model with Cursor, which will be released in Cursor and Grok Build soon.
Traster 3 hours ago
I'm still waiting for the real news to drop- in the next 6 months we're going to start hearing some big moves from Space X AI. Early this year they lost pretty much all their leadership, it's very clear they failed to keep up with the frontier models and Musk has essentially given up for now - renting out their compute to Anthropic and Google. But that's not sustainable, everything they say about their IPO is that AI is the core value driver. So at some point Musk is going to have some decisions to make about who he brings in to drive that. I imagine once they get that person in and start building a team around them the deals with Anthropic and Google will be ended.
I guess the cursor guys will be happy because they got their pay day, but I'd be very aware if I were them that their future is at the whim of whoever Musk appoints and it's difficult to tell who that would be right now.
I guess now is the time to take bets, so I'm going to bet an early OpenAI employee like Sutskever gets the job and they acquihire him in. Here's a bit of a laugh - at this stock price Musk could probably tempt Demis to come over, that would be wild.
ekjhgkejhgk 2 hours ago
Why is it not sustainable? Right now it appears to be a better business than selling access to models.
Traster 2 hours ago
It's a good business. Maybe even a great business. But it's not going to justify a valuation like Space X. In the same way that Tesla has slowly become less competitive in automotive, I don't think it's sensible to assume Space X will have some durable edge in building data centres, especially when basically everything going into those data centres are commodities. And if it is just a neo cloud, then you have to contend with the pro-cyclical nature of that. It's also just clearly not their plan, they're not promising to be a neo cloud. They're promising to own the full stack.
verzali 5 hours ago
So that accounts for about three quarters of the money SpaceX just raised then?
mym1990 4 hours ago
Not totally, because the deal is in stock. The cash SpaceX got is actual cash that can be deployed today. The stock will be in a lockout period and could be worth nothing or something whenever the lockout ends.
podgorniy 4 hours ago
> about three quarters of the money SpaceX just raised then? While rest is paid to the debters...
Most probably it will be mix of stock/cash
mcintyre1994 3 hours ago
It's all stock
nilirl an hour ago
Does that mean all of the co-founders would become billionaires? And they're, what, like 20 year olds?
And I'm here trying to get something to make a $1000 per month. What a world.
throwaw12 5 hours ago
this is financial engineering to increase ARR temporarily, feels like next year Elon will dump lots of stocks
Tiktaalik 3 hours ago
You generally see this sort of thing in the games industry when a publisher gives a developer a bunch of money to make a game but then the developer screws up and runs out of money. Publisher buys them to try to recoup their investment.
Is Cursor dying?
podgorniy 4 hours ago
For about 10 billions over the twitter price (inflation adjusted)
Mesmerizing....
mDyJzDPmBdG 7 hours ago
Wasn't that already announced few weeks ago, only with deal going through depending on Cursor future stock price?
dockerd 6 hours ago
That was future option, now they are purchasing it.
xiphias2 6 hours ago
They needed to raise money for the purchase, they just did it (raising from public market)
Beannation 2 hours ago
I really hope Musk doesn't ruin the product itself. I am not a fan of how he changed X at all. Id really like to see them stay on the current path, which has been brilliant so far
thm 5 hours ago
That’s two zeros too many.
RemingtonDavies 2 hours ago
Why don't they just make their own in-house development environment? Cursor's codebase is maybe 5,000-50,000$ worth of actual code, even just $10M (compared to the $60B) could knock Cursor out of the park with a completely custom code editor, and even with a smaller budget they could fork VSCode. Maybe for the social value? I feel like a $10B advertising budget for a bespoke AI development environment is more than enough to become an actual competitor.
frankfrank13 2 hours ago
Distribution. Cursor has enterprise contracts, SpaceX/XAi want them.
farco12 5 hours ago
What an incredible outcome for the Cursor team. Hopefully the Cursor + xAI teams working together can produce a competitive frontier model.
resters 5 hours ago
Cursor was simply able to get early access to openai models and get an early lead doing things that are now obvious and done better by many others. Does anyone really want to use a crippled "enhanced" vscode to interact with a crippled version of codex or claude code?
manojlds 4 hours ago
This comment reeks of someone who has not used Cursor, at least in 2026.
resters 3 hours ago
farco12 4 hours ago
It's a great thing for consumers and businesses to have another competitive, American coding harness + frontier coding model duo. No one wants a crippled version of codex or claude code and surely SpaceX isn't paying $60 billion for that outcome.
resters 3 hours ago
conductr 3 hours ago
So they innovated, created a product and found users? Sorry to break it to you but that’s how software companies are built.
resters 3 hours ago
senordevnyc 2 hours ago
Do you think people are using Cursor to interact with Claude Code? What?
daniban 2 hours ago
I'm genuinely excited for Cursor Composer 3. A Cursor model with Grok resources could compete with OpenAI and Anthropic.
electriclove 5 hours ago
Good timing because they are paying with SpaceX shares which are at a crazy high valuation right now (compared to just a few days ago)
amelius 3 hours ago
"Houston, we have a problem"
"One minute, let me ask my AI agent"
dana321 24 minutes ago
The writing was on the wall for cursor, this is a good deal for them to get bailed out and continue business.
dwa3592 3 hours ago
They're doing what anyone would do in their position. I won't be surprised if they bought more companies while the stock price is that high.
bastawhiz 3 hours ago
Oh well, time to cancel my Cursor subscription. What a shame.
LgWoodenBadger 4 hours ago
Nonsense like this reminds me of the following quote from the 1999 Thomas Crown Affair movie:
“Have you figured out what you're going to say to your board when they realize you paid me thirty million more than others were offering?”
In the span of <20 years we’re talking about a sale price 3 orders of magnitude larger than a minor plot point of a hollywood movie.
peterspath 3 hours ago
Good hopefully Grok Build gets better and they start to innovate in this area.
Claude Code and ChatGPT need some competition. So that they also innovate more.
Haunt1000 2 hours ago
That's interesting I was using Windsurf before and I really enjoyed it. Then it became part of Devon. I was less thrilled about that so I was looking at Cursor, but now it's also getting bought out. Any suggestions on what else is left? : )
jazzpush2 43 minutes ago
I can't stand Cursor. Every time I open it up I have 3 popups I don't use, that I then need to figure out how to close. Using it for notes is impossible, since the autocomplete just tries to fill in bullshit.
Awful what VC money did to it. Hope to never use it again, now that work stopped mandating it.
bilekas 4 hours ago
> The biggest focus of its business is the manufacture and launch of rockets with reusable parts.
Is it though ? Their TAM in their filing lists 85% as AI. $18.7 billion in REVENUE 2025 yet are spending more than 3x that for Cursor, and AI company.
ZeroGravitas 2 hours ago
Is he bailing out an investor he's connected to?
verytrivial 2 hours ago
Ai is great. The bubble will burst. We will keep Ai just like we kept "the internet" after the dot-com bubble, but we still won't buy our pets online. I mean London has pretty good train connections and stations because a bunch of companies repeatedly tried to get rich. Most eventually failed, but we kept the rails. I just hope we get our computers back after this round of gambling.
ungovernableCat 2 hours ago
I’m worried some of the people leading this race will try to entangle the institutional financial giants or even the government to ensure some sort of too big to fail scenario.
There’s an unprecedented amount of money at stake. And the admin has never been so openly and blatantly for sale.
dmoreno 4 hours ago
Just cancelled my subscription.
I've been using the Pi agent with Deepseek for some days.. and I'm more than happy with that.
yanis_t 5 hours ago
Those Mars bases are getting closer and closer.
ozgrakkurt 4 hours ago
Optimus robots are very close. Gradeschool vibes all around
utopiah 5 hours ago
Full self-living autonomous Mars base next year. Musk™ /s
tcp_handshaker 4 hours ago
Besides now paying 60 billion for a fork of VSCode, it seems SpaceX meme stock style money raised from the IPO, is all gone in one week :-)
IPO proceeds after greenshoe: $85.7B
Major disclosed cash / debt-related commitments:
- Take out Bridge loan tied to X/xAI debt repayment: $20.0B
- Take out EchoStar debt payoff / cash component: up to $8.5B
- Take out EchoStar debt-service funding: up to $3.0B
- Take out AI infrastructure lease commitments: $20.2B
Subtotal of major disclosed commitments: $51.7B
Rough remaining cash before other costs :-)): $34.0B
Lets now talk about buying Tesla, doing Quantum and building a Dyson Sphere and do another round?
returnInfinity 2 hours ago
They are paying for the installed based. The users mainly. And also the team.
MJ093 4 hours ago
I think we should get used to it because that's what's going to keep happening again and again. First Twitter, then Cursor. When someone falls behind in the race for innovation, they usually buy the best product available and use it to get ahead of the competition.
aenis 6 hours ago
Out of curiosity, anyone here still using cursor?
veber-alex 4 hours ago
Yes it's my main AI thing.
It has access to all top models, great IDE integration and their AI based autocomplete is still unbeaten.
I have no desire to use a TUI, feels like a downgrade to me.
rcleveng an hour ago
Yes, I still use it, although less than I would otherwise.
Good: - Composer 2.5 is pretty decent for the quality / price ratio. - Easy to assign an issue to it in Linear (I know Linear just added this natively for linear agent, but it seems rubbish compared to Cursor) - Bugbot actually finds some useful issues (things Claude and Codex will miss) - Using @cursor in github usually works well, and better than @copilot. - Working with Python Monorepos with UV in their IDE. VSCode and Cursor work well here (Antigravity managed to screw it up somehow).
The Bad: - Usage/billing dashboards - These are are opaque and you can't attribute what actions map to what spend. - cursor won't follow PRs well like Claude Codes does. - Setting up environments is less good than Claude Code - Their IDE fork is woefully out of date, it'd be nice if it had more of the codeium fixes.
The Ugly: - Settings - Try to turn off bugbot, there's multiple places you have to do it. Good luck figuring them all out. - Support - they are polite, but gas light you and tell you it's your fault their product's settings are awful.
tommoor 28 minutes ago
Linear employee here - if you have any specific feedback on our Claude/Codex integration, happy to hear it. Definitely a v1 so expect a number of fast follows up with some of the missing functionality like env customization, secrets, and code signing.
Cheers!
warmedcookie 5 hours ago
I use CC/Codex/Cursor.
CC is mostly my default for large tasks / features (ex. Plan > execute plan ) Biggest gripe with Claude Code is that it is painfully slow relative to the other two.
Cursor for small stuff like bug fixes since it has a lot of models to choose from. I love the review/ diff / checkpoint features. It's planning feature is on par with CC. I'd probably use Cursor as primary driver if it had better cost efficiency. Next version or two of Composer may fill that gap in cost/quality/speed.
Codex isn't allowed at my work, but I use it for personal projects. It has the best balance of quality / cost / speed even if it's planner is poor and quite frankly the codex harness needs to catch up with the other two.
CC for quality / cost. Cursor for quality / speed. Codex for balance of the 3.
aabdi 5 hours ago
composer is competitive with around opus 4.5 in feeling?
largely lags behind opus4.7/gpt5.4, but is respectable, and generally outperforms the glm/qwen equivalents anecdotally despite benchmarks.
fails to follow instructions more often, and is less code critical, but performs okay if you can decompose the task to smaller problem spaces. i.e. only do manual review, only do typechecking, only do specific component. etc
https://artificialanalysis.ai/agents/coding-agents?coding-ag...
senordevnyc 5 hours ago
I agree, Composer 2.5 is really good. I use it for all kinds of small tasks, and really for any kind of first pass at debugging, answering questions about the codebase, pulling data for reports, etc. It’s fast, pretty accurate, and basically free.
yanis_t 5 hours ago
Never did. Having been using Github Copilot since its launch (as autocomplete, they have a Vim plugin) and claude code for agentic coding.
esafak 2 hours ago
I intend to try it for design mode with Composer 2.5
sfblah an hour ago
I switched over to Claude Code. The products are essentially identical. This whole space has been commoditized. Paying $60B for this is idiotic.
senordevnyc 5 hours ago
Yes, it’s my daily driver for building the saas I run full-time. I’m not happy about this news.
I like the ability to switch between any models, Composer 2.5 is really solid, I like having my agents coworking in the IDE with me, the plan mode is great, Cloud Agents are great, especially with slack, linear, web, etc integrations. I routinely tag an error report in slack and Cursor fires up a Composer 2.5 cloud agent that has readonly db access, access to error reporting, etc, and it can triage the issue, issue a PR, and tag me in slack.
The only thing I’ve felt like I’m missing out on is the subsidies of the CC/Codex subscriptions, but it seems like that is rapidly eroding anyway.
buntp 4 hours ago
Curious, what does your SaaS do? even the general area is fine
senordevnyc 2 hours ago
electriclove 4 hours ago
Why are you not happy about this news? Didn’t their collaboration make Composer 2.5 possible?
senordevnyc 2 hours ago
blitzar 5 hours ago
Co-Pilot -> Cursor -> Claude Code.
I think my relationship with cursor was the shortest of all.
Aeolun 5 hours ago
Cursor was really good for like 2-3 months. It felt like magic compared to Copilot.
Claude Code is like... I dunno, something better than magic because it actually exists.
tchock23 2 hours ago
I was until today.
AndreyK1984 6 hours ago
good enough for simple tasks.
d--b 2 hours ago
It seems that each time there's a new tech cycle, another zero gets appended to all financial transactions.
snigacookie 4 hours ago
Can someone help me understand what this means to tesla and Grok?
GenerWork 4 hours ago
I wouldn't be surprised to see Grok become some sort of agent that calls Composer/whatever the joint Cursor & X.ai model might be called.
breakpointalpha 4 hours ago
Ah thanks for reminding me to cancel my subscription.
transitKnox 6 hours ago
Well that's a lot of money. They must see this as a distribution pipeline for Grok?
kilpikaarna 5 hours ago
I once again fear for my grandfathered-in free SuperMaven.
shafiemoji 4 hours ago
I honestly don't get why they feel the need to buy Cursor or why OpenAI wanted Windsurf. If it's data you're after, wouldn't it be so much more cheaper to just hire a dedicated team to fork VS code and integrate your own model and give it to the public for free with unlimited usage for a couple of months?
vicentwu 5 hours ago
It's absurd. let's mark it down.
jfdi 4 hours ago
Grok’s capabilities on Cursor’s data should be a step function there. Go X! Congrats Cursor, what a ride!
Fotis-Karmpas 5 hours ago
i thought they already did that!
ryzvonusef 5 hours ago
they had the option, but hadn't executed on it... now it seems they have.
AtNightWeCode 5 hours ago
$60B. Wow. Congrats to Anysphere. But $60B. That is just a ludicrous price.
LysergicLlama 5 hours ago
It's been fun, bye
nwhnwh 3 hours ago
Take me with you
pulkas 4 hours ago
waiting for the anouncement: cursor for grok heavy users.
NewsaHackO 4 hours ago
Why after thier IPO?
kypro 5 hours ago
$60b is genuinely insane. Very high from a P/S ratio perspective, and for a product with arguably no defensible moat.
Congrats to the Cursor team though... One of the most crazy exit stories ever – 4 years to a $60b buyout. Damn.
tomwphillips 6 hours ago
Definitely not a bubble.
the_real_cher 3 hours ago
Vibe coded space shuttles baby! Lets GO!
polnurfer 5 hours ago
That is very hinged
noncoml 28 minutes ago
Musk needs the revenue before the IPO.
He found a perfect market hack, buy a company at 10x their revenue and sell it in the stock market at 100x
tinyhouse 3 hours ago
Cursor is great but they're all going to cash out and leave SpaceX as soon as they can.
FL33TW00D 3 hours ago
Some of the talent at Cursor is second to none. E.g Less Wright, Sasha Rush, Stuart Sul.
Google paid 2.5B to bring Noam back into the fold in 2024 ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
techpression 5 hours ago
How are these numbers even working out, I get free markets and all that, but Microsoft paid 2.5B for Minecraft, which was printing money at the time (seems they still lost on that deal). Now a rocket company is buying an editor company for 60B and everyone seems to think that makes sense.
I’m happy to be old man yelling at clouds here because I can’t for the life of me figure out these valuations and purchases.
fluoridation 4 hours ago
All I know is, it's going to be fun when everyone wakes up sober and hungover realizing they've been sleeping on piles of tulips.
farfatched 4 hours ago
There's a lot of investment in AI for its potential.
An AI editor company might never make 60B itself, but it might help another AI company grow faster (relative to its competitors, who might also want to buy the AI editor company).
What else can an AI giant do with all that money?
Build in-house: they do, and there's only so fast they can hire/build.
Save? Yes, still do, but if they save it all, and let competitors buy Cursor, they lose.
Invest in other fields? Sure, but if they lose the AI race, that's all they'll be left with.
Tesla's IPO is a bet that if Musk has the right opportunity, he will do well. So he's given a big bucket of money, and needs a team that can deliver. So he buys Cursor.
The winners are Cursor. The losers are whoever is funding the AI companies that get outcompeted.
(Full disclosure: I don't know anything about Cursor, nor much about Tesla or its IPO.)
techpression 4 hours ago
But surely 60B could buy you something better if you want to spend money on AI. The number seems completely arbitrary, would Cursor say no to 40B? I really don’t see Cursor as bringing them anything of actual value, it’s more of a bragging thing, but I can be very wrong.
baggachipz 4 hours ago
> How are these numbers even working out
You must be new here.
blondie9x 4 hours ago
What are the best open source IDE alternatives to Cursor? There was Continue for a bit but Cursor bought it. Is Visual Code by itself the only open source IDE atm? My main gripe with Visual Code is it doesn't make it easy to use open weight models or non Copilot model APIs. Continue helped but its now part of Cursor.
As for coding in the terminal, we have Opencode, Claude Code, and Codex etc. They are all open source but only Opencode can route to open weight models. But non of these are really an IDE like Visual Code or Cursor.
Are we missing a really good open source IDE to use open weight models? It seems like we are.
grzracz 4 hours ago
I think it's difficult to compete in this space because right now to build the "full IDE" you have to build an extremely capable harness (very hard) and a very good IDE (very hard). I plan to continue using Claude Code and built myself a small tool to verify what the agents actually do + move around the codebase quickly but it's a far cry from a full IDE: https://cotect.dev
drunkan 4 hours ago
Zed…
piokoch 5 hours ago
Interesting, Grok, for a flagship AI contender was rather poorly performing. I mean, not bad, but visibly less capable.
datadrivenangel 4 hours ago
The grok fast models for coding were pretty adequate. Not good, but fast and good enough to be usable.
chinathrow 5 hours ago
Is this Elon listening to Pieter Levels?
manwithopinions 5 hours ago
Pieter is so dumb. All he seems to do is post comparisons between the wonderful U.S. and dying EU that are completely wrong. If Elon is listening to Pieter, pray for Elon.
simianwords 2 hours ago
You do know Elon already believes those things?
baq 4 hours ago
meanwhile Mistral:
TrackerFF 6 hours ago
Congrats to the founders, arguably the first true AI-wrapper billionaires? 0 to multigenerational wealth in 4 years is impressive. It is crazy how much more wealth per user that can be created in the AI-space, compared to other products.
Hendrikto 5 hours ago
It is crazy how much more wealth per user that can be created in the tulip space, compared to other products.
4er_transform 4 hours ago
Surprising how tech people on a tech forum are some of the biggest Luddites. Maybe it’s because the creative destruction is coming to your industry this time?
deadbabe 2 hours ago
mrcwinn 3 hours ago
This was a fantastically smart deal for both sides.
blondie9x 4 hours ago
What are the best open source IDE alternatives to Cursor? There was Continue for a bit but Cursor bought it. Is Visual Code by itself the only open source IDE atm? My main gripe with Visual Code is it doesn't make it easy to use open weight models or non Copilot model APIs. Continue helped but its now part of Cursor.
As for coding in the terminal, we have Opencode, Claude Code, and Codex etc. They are all open source but only Opencode can route to open weight models. But non of these are really an IDE like Visual Code or Cursor.
Are we missing a really good open source IDE to use open weight models? It seems like we are.
api 4 hours ago
I realized a while back that Elon Musk isn't Iron Man. His superhero (or supervillain depending on your view) persona is ZIRP Man, the master of riding successive credit expansion and speculative waves. It's sort of ironic that he at least pays lip service to some Austrian-style quasi-libertarian economic ideas, because the Federal Reserve created him.
Now he's surfing the AI wave. We are no longer technically in ZIRP but the delayed inflationary wave is now traveling through the economy and pumping everything. He knows the best way to soak up cheap money right now is slap AI on it.
I also had the thought the other day that him hitting $1T technical net worth might actually be a harbinger of a lot more future inflation. Inflation of this type hits assets before it hits things like prices and wages, and it hits assets with fast market cycles like stocks before it hits things like Real Estate. The blast wave starts at the top and moves down and out. So maybe Elon hitting $1T really means that in 20 years that'll be more like $100B inflation adjusted. Meanwhile a loaf of bread will be $20 and a starter home $4M.
But the fact that monetary inflation starts top-down is why low interest rates exacerbate inequality. The very richest and most leveraged can use the arbitrage gap to buy everything else before the inflation wave propagates. We've been in a low interest rate environment for about two decades, and you can see during that time how the super-rich with access to cheap money have fully detached from the rest of the economy.
In other words: the reaction to the 2008 financial crisis was to inject huge liquidity at the top, which created the new Gilded Age.
Ultimately it may be somewhat intentional. One way out of a sovereign debt crisis when you also have a sovereign currency is to inflate your way out, which basically is a huge tax on every non-domestic entity that owns your debt.
BigTTYGothGF 4 hours ago
Elon Musk has exactly one talent, and it's being the greatest master of financial chicanery the world has ever seen.
api 4 hours ago
To be honest and objective, I think he at least knows enough about engineering to hire people who know what they're doing, which is how he got here. It's not all chicanery.
Over time, though, I think he's drifted away from his original "make real things in the real world" focus and more toward "play money games" and "play political games."
It's sad. One common comic book supervillain arc is to start as a hero and become what you despise.
breakpointalpha 4 hours ago
Good reminder for me to cancel my Cursor subscription. I don't support Elmo.
llm_nerd 5 hours ago
SpaceX should rush to acquire as many companies as they can with stock. The market cap is absolute insanity (I know people keep saying this about new high scores in unrelated-to-reality valuations, but this one might just be the pinnacle), with zero rational basis, and they should try to make it real as rapidly as they can.
Next up, Anthropic.
vorticalbox 5 hours ago
Anthropic are already paying $15 b to space X for compute.
CodesInChaos 4 hours ago
Buying depreciating nvidia hardware and renting it out to competitors isn't why SpaceX has a trillion dollar valuation.
vorticalbox 4 hours ago
flanked-evergl 4 hours ago
> zero rational basis
Do you really think so? Like everyone who risks their and their clients' money here is just being irrational? Is this really a coherent view? Could it not be that someone knows something you don't, or does not have the biases you have?
amanaplanacanal 4 hours ago
Everything was in the S1 filing. There is no "secret knowledge".
The rational basis is entirely "I can sell the stock to somebody else for more money". Where in normal stock it would be "this company can make a profit that gives a return on this investment." This is a purely speculative play.
flanked-evergl 3 hours ago
drakythe 4 hours ago
Point us at a rational verbalized or written argument for SpaceX's current valuation (and increasing)? Everything I've read says the valuation is too high and here is why, with x, y, and z reasons. Everyone I read who encourages buying seems to be ignoring arguments entirely and going on vibes.
flanked-evergl 3 hours ago
stogot 4 hours ago
the IPO raised $85B and they just spent $60B on Cursor. If this was the intention it should have been in a disclosure
Edit: I see SpaceX did disclose
Maxious 4 hours ago
> With the option agreement, we have the right, but not obligation, to acquire Cursor at a predetermined price or pay a fee
> The consideration for the acquisition of Cursor, if any, after the closing of this offering would consist of shares of our Class A common stock based on an implied equity value of Cursor of $60.0 billion
"Collaboration with Cursor" page 12 of the SpaceX S-1 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1181412/000162828026...
semessier 4 hours ago
this is an all-stock transaction. No cash spent.
dude250711 4 hours ago
SPCX is exactly the "currency" that LLM companies should be valued in.
$60B cash? Too much.
$60B SPCX stock? Why so low.
jmyeet 3 hours ago
I believe that OpenAI (I'll get to SpaceX in a second) has a huge valuation risk because:
1. It's a bet that OpenAI will "win" AI and have a significant moat; and
2. Future hardware improvements won't massively devalue OpenAI.
I believe open source models will win here, mainly because China won't allow otherwise. I also think that nobody is really talking about the hardware decpreciations coming in the next few years, which is going to be really important from a performance-per-Watt perspective. B100s aren't going to suck. But a theoretical T100 will get 30-80% more performance for the same energy input.
So, SpaceX. I've previously said that SpaceX would've been a significantly better company without xAI. SpaceX was used to rescue Elon and other "investros" from the financially disastrous Twitter purchase. Starlink, Starship (which is a risky program) and the Falcon 9 are a solid business. They're just not a $2 trillion business.
So I believe that the AI bubble contributes at least half of SpaceX's valuation and when and if that bubble bursts, at least half of SpaceX's value is at risk.
Google announced they're throwing billions to rent GPUs from SpaceX. That might sound good. It solves a short-term cash issue. But as another commenter put it, it makes SpaceX seem more like a Commercial REIT. After all, renting out your GPUs is literally the lowest-value thing you can do with them. You're not building a business. You're taking rent so someone else can build a business.
So buying Cursor and I'm sure any number of other AI startups in the coming year or two, seems aimed at kicking that AI can down the street.
So I view the Google-SpaceX as a red flag in the short-to-medium term. SpaceX simply can't seem to do anything valuable with all the compute they have. And I also have way more confidence in Anthropic (in particular), OpenAI and Gemini than I do in Grok.
ekjhgkejhgk 2 hours ago
BTW, will this pile of shit be included in the S&P? Is it known yet?
thebrid 2 hours ago
It won't be expedited into S&P.
wmeredith 6 hours ago
"SpaceX told investors during the IPO process that it sees an addressable market for AI products worth $26 trillion, roughly equivalent to U.S. GDP."
This is unhinged.
TrackerFF 5 hours ago
I know it has become a meme by now, but IIRC the market for all foods (agriculture, processed food, etc.) on earth is around $10 trillion.
So according to SpaceX, the market for AI is 2.5 larger than all the food sold on this planet.
They're also saying that the AI market is worth roughly 10% of all global real estate.
ralfd an hour ago
To be fair, food is the smallest bucket of my monthly expenses. And there are many people here on hacker news who pay more for their AI tokens than for their food.
How does argrar industry and tech industry compare as share of gdp in the US?
fckgw an hour ago
lumost 4 hours ago
This is true if you take the ai market as equal to the market for labor discounted to 5-10% penetration.
It’s not a totally unreasonable assertion, it’s the implication of the assertion that we are uncomfortable with. There is no reason for the models to stop their improvements in the near future.
ben_w 2 hours ago
sph 2 hours ago
f6v 5 hours ago
> the market for AI is 2.5 larger than all the food sold on this planet.
It just shows how much the automation has impacted agriculture and the food industry. Sure, there're rural farms that apply 200 yo technology. But e.g. the grain production and farming are incredibly efficient at scale. So, it's not that costly for as a humanity to feed 8 billion people (at a varying level, of course).
TrackerFF 5 hours ago
minraws 3 hours ago
bcrl 4 hours ago
What precisely is the moat surrounding AI that SpaceX is using to justify this kind of spending spree? I don't how SpaceX and other AI companies will be able to keep the weights of their AI models private in the face of interest by virtually everyone in the world. It would be absolutely trivial for a nation state to walk into a data center using a state issued security certificate to seize a few of the physical servers running the cloud services of OpenAI / Grok / Claude. Copying the weights is trivial. Infiltrating a company with spies as new hire coders to gain access to source code is also trivial.
This is really starting to feel like the pets.com era again.
yifanl 4 hours ago
suncemoje 2 hours ago
dtagames 4 hours ago
ahartmetz 2 hours ago
klooney 4 hours ago
AtlasBarfed 2 hours ago
ai-x 2 hours ago
I'm sure people laughed in 2023 if someone said AI will reach $100B in revenue in 3 years. Yet here we are
marcosdumay an hour ago
sph 2 hours ago
noncoml an hour ago
imron 38 minutes ago
> They're also saying that the AI market is worth roughly 10% of all global real estate.
Why limit yourself to one planet? Space is infinite ;-)
bryanlarsen 5 hours ago
Food is worth a lot more than that. If the alternative was starvation, we would pay approximately all the money for food. By that metric food is worth more than $100T. The difference between $100T and $10T is called the consumer surplus, one of the largest benefits of a free market economy.
AI might eventually provide $26T worth of value, but if it captures anywhere close to that amount of revenue that'll indicate a failure of the free market economy. Competition and open source will have failed and the oligarchy has won.
(Either that, or inflation will have made $26T a relatively smaller number).
darkerside 5 hours ago
I'm sure the finance market is much larger as well
boothby 2 hours ago
>> AI products worth $26 trillion, roughly equivalent to U.S. GDP."
> This is unhinged.
The only way for Musk to become a quadrillionaire is hyperinflation. And a week later, we'll be quadrillionaires too!
TrainedMonkey 2 hours ago
Be honest now, it would take at least a few months for the rest of us.
rayiner an hour ago
You need to understand the definition of “total addressable market.” It’s a maximum theoretical number for the size of the market (not your company’s revenue) under ideal assumptions. A $26 trillion TAM is high but it’s not “unhinged.” For example, the logistics and transportation market is over $10 trillion and expected to double by 2035. Under ideal assumptions, if AI replaces everything from coders to lawyers, why is that “unhinged?”
slashdev an hour ago
Over what period of time?
By 2030? No way
By 2050? Maybe?
Obviously during an IPO you’re trying to make the bull case (unhinged or not). What does it look like in the best case scenario.
ActionHank 5 hours ago
Always fun to remember when calculating TAM - something like 85 - 90% of the world earns less than $1000 usd per month.
The math don’t math here, there literally aren’t enough people to afford this and businesses will go under the more people are displaced for gainful employment.
DebtDeflation 4 hours ago
There have been a few recent stories about businesses finding themselves spending more on tokens than they were spending on the workers these AI Agents were supposed to have replaced.
fredophile an hour ago
I also saw a quote from Musk saying that he expects SpaceX to hit $1 trillion in revenue by 2031. Given his track record of predicting performance I think it's safe to ignore such future looking statements from him or companies he controls.
jmalicki an hour ago
Another way of putting this: global GDP is ~$132Trillion from what I gather.
So this is saying AI products will increase global GDP by about 20%.
The Federal Reserve says AI is contributing about 1% GDP growth per year to the US [0].
So maybe you can get to $13 trillion over a decade just from that. If you assume some acceleration, 20% isn't out of the question.
It is an extremely rosy projection, but if AI can replicate large fractions of the workforce, leaving those humans with the ability to work on other things, it doesn't seem unhinged when you think of it through this lens, just very optimistic - not Elon Musk level optimistic, just "everything goes according to plan and a bunch of things in the causal chain are all slightly on the higher end."
[0] https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2026/jan/tracking-...
marcosdumay an hour ago
> So this is saying AI products will increase global GDP by about 20%.
No business gets to capture 100% of the value it produces without physical coercion.
For infrastructure that requires high investment, it usually captures something around 5% of it. People tend to work really hard to replace or reduce any kind of infrastructure that gets near 10%. So we are talking about AIs increasing the global GDP by 200% at minimum, 400% more realistically.
Or in other words, bullshit number is bullshit.
prennert 3 hours ago
I call it forward thinking: they assume massive inflation due to income taxes breaking away.
chimpanzee2 2 hours ago
yea, totally nuts.
clearly it's more like $540.2 quintillion at this point
remix2000 2 hours ago
Dunno the actual number, but one thing I'm certain is that it must be closer to $0 than $26 trillion on a number scale.
Aeolun 5 hours ago
> This is unhinged.
Just like the investors :D
emsign 6 hours ago
Marks believe anything the con tells them as long as it's promising big money ROI.
firecall 5 hours ago
Where is that quote from?
I can’t see it in the article when reading on my phone?
re-thc 6 hours ago
> sees an addressable market for AI products
Well if you start adding AI powered to "everything" then it is possible.
Soon you'll have AI face cream and AI donuts.
rustystump 2 hours ago
They are pricing in inflation along with the inevitable money printing that will happen.
thinkingtoilet 5 hours ago
In a sensible world, this would be considered lying to investors and be prosecuted.
yks an hour ago
With SPCX shares never going down in price, SpaceX can acquire all companies in the US in exchange for its stock, so SpaceX itself is worth at least as much as the US GDP! (/s)
fnoef 4 hours ago
[flagged]
dang an hour ago
Ok, but please don't post unsubstantive comments to Hacker News.
amunozo 4 hours ago
Not the entire industry, only the American part. Chinese companies seem healthier.
kykat 4 hours ago
You can only say that because you know nothing about the Chinese ones
nwhnwh 3 hours ago
Yup