We are entering a period of overlapping crises (hamishcampbell.com)

54 points by speckx 3 hours ago

allenrb 37 minutes ago

It’s interesting and valuable, imho, to consider that people have always tended to think things are falling apart, and that perhaps now is no different.

That said, all societies rise and all appear to eventually fall. It’s equally reasonable to consider that the US/Western Civilization/humanity might actually be nearing a fall.

maxerickson 9 minutes ago

I guess if you take a wide enough lens, the west lives in the civilization founded in Rome. There's no political continuity, but there's a reasonably coherent cultural trajectory going back a few thousand years.

Do we think that there is going to be a major break from that?

Daishiman 31 minutes ago

It is absolutely true.

It's also true that as the scope of power humanity has over itself and its environment, it equally manages to create ever larger crises, and it seems like we truly are reaching the ecological and environmental limits of what the planet's life support systems can give us before breaking down.

bamboozled 23 minutes ago

I personally disagree , humans have for Millenia ruined eco systems, made things go extinct etc.

Fires majorly destructive for example. Humans did a lot of environmental damage with that over the years

Loquebantur 6 minutes ago

marginalia_nu 16 minutes ago

monneyboi 2 hours ago

We are entering? I feel like we've been there for years.

smallerize 40 minutes ago

The term "polycrisis" started getting popular in 2023.

onethought 2 hours ago

Honestly there are writings from the greeks, romans, enlightment, 20s, 30s, 40s, 50s... That read just like this.

At some point, this view point, and this predicament is just "The Human Condition".[0]

[0] That's not a excuse to not try to fix the broken things around us. But perspective is important.

Loquebantur an hour ago

The point about our current situation can best be understood with complexity theory.

Complex systems can be interpreted as trajectories in high dimensional spaces. When a complex system is pushed out of equilibrium too far, it "runs up against its constraints", the borders of the space it can operate in.

It follows those towards edges and along those finally into corners (so to speak), reducing the degrees of freedom along the way. "Being cornered" is an accurate visualization of a complex system out of options: you have nowhere to go.

Our society is such a cornered complex system. "Crises" are themselves symptoms of reduced resilience: the system cannot evade them. They compound, eventually overwhelming the coping abilities, leading to catastrophic break down of entire subsystems and further domino effects.

The same observation is correct for our natural environment, whether you look at biodiversity, climate or other pollution-induced stressors.

So no, it's not "the human condition". It's the end-state of a prolonged lack of course-correction.

polishdude20 an hour ago

marginalia_nu 14 minutes ago

To be fair, depending on when these things were written, there was a lot of shit going on in Greece and Rome that merited such a take, including invasions, plagues, civil war. And the '20s[1], '30s[1], and '40s[2], and '50s[3].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Depression

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_War_II

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_War_(1953%E2%80%931962)

HPsquared 40 minutes ago

Speaking of the Romans, decline can indeed take hundreds of years to play out.

watwut an hour ago

> 20s 30s

They were heading up towards large catastrophy. In fact.

card_zero 21 minutes ago

GolfPopper an hour ago

Obligatory xkcd: https://www.explainxkcd.com/wiki/index.php/1979:_History

That out of the way, I'm close to 50, and things over the last year definitely seem different in a more precarious way than anything before them. It feels closer to my memories of August 1991, or the days immediately after 9/11 or January 6th, only all the time, where I've gotten a little numb to the dissonance, but not nearly enough for it to feel close to normal. It feels like what I imagine the run-up to WWII might have felt like to those living then.

That's my perspective.

bubbluppugus an hour ago

Well yeah but at the same time social specifics exist; Trump doesn't go about things like Caesar because the world is fundamentally different

So negotiations and solutions must be too

swader999 28 minutes ago

On one hand the notion of the world is ending or gonna end is as old as history itself. On the other, the complexity of everything and the amount of technical capability an individual or small group can wield has never been higher.

haunter 2 hours ago

Once in a lifetime events every single year since the 2000s

tengbretson an hour ago

Seeing what "we" need to do to build a better future as described by an author that doesn't appear to have a wife, children or any attachment to a permanent home reads to me a lot like an offseason blog post by a Chicago Bears fan talking about what "we" need to do to get better next year.

overfeed 5 minutes ago

I noticed a pattern of people incapable of altruism - and apparently can't imagine it exists - weirdly call it "virtue signalling" as that's the best-fitting motivation that exists in their worldview.

Your comment says a lot about how you view things that don't affect you personally, in the vein of "Après moi, le déluge."

unrented7977 16 minutes ago

What an unnecessarily privileged take. We have an entire class of people for whom homeownership is not even a dream. We have a fertility crisis. We have a loneliness crisis. Have you been paying attention to anything outside of yourself for the last ten years? Because that's the only way I can imagine someone would make a statement like this.

bossyTeacher 12 minutes ago

> Have you been paying attention to anything outside of yourself for the last ten years?

That's the average HNer. Academic smart but devoid of empathy or awareness of the world outside their socioeconomic circles.

crassglassass 38 minutes ago

> described by an author that doesn't appear to have a wife, children or any attachment to a permanent home

No shit, entire generations have been complaining for a while now about how these things are getting harder to obtain.

bryanrasmussen 2 hours ago

I don't feel like it's AI, but I do get the feeling of reading someone dipping into the bucket of their local version of English slang, and maybe doing some context switching that they cannot handle as adeptly as could be hoped, to the detriment of the article's readability.

I suppose there are probably people out there snorting in disbelief and saying "you're one to talk", but that's how I feel.

SequoiaHope 23 minutes ago

“…climate breakdown, growing inequality, technological disruption, war, political instability and the weakening of democratic institutions, these are no longer separate problems…”

Very weak opening. These were never separate problems. If the author is just beginning to notice, it doesn’t bode well for what insights they have to share.

rglover 22 minutes ago

One of the few things that calms me down in response to the chaos is looking at nature and really observing it.

Watch the birds, squirrels, etc and compare their general behavior to that of humans. What I've observed is that unlike us, they're not worried or panicked. They just live. A threat may appear and startle them, but assuming there isn't one, they just carry on. No 'bird news,' or 'bird notifications,' or 'opinions about <other bird> to have at the feeder.' They just flap around and eat the fucking seed.

Humans seem to be obsessed with turning life into an endless cycle of stress and 'critical' moments.

Need I remind everyone: we're floating in what we call 'space' on a giant ball (one of ~billions) protected by a relatively thin atmosphere, hurtling at a thousand miles per hour, convinced of our own brilliance despite barely having left the neighborhood. I think our next evolutionary step, the one that moves us further up the Kardashev Scale, is realizing just how much of our existence is consumed by human-manufactured nonsense and distraction or, "crises."

card_zero 11 minutes ago

Indeed, for many small squeaky animals, a predator may kill their offspring, and they will set about making another batch the next day. Consider the lilies of the field, they have no jobs, and would go around naked, if they could move.

Loquebantur 13 minutes ago

Escapism can be a useful tool for managing individual stress levels.

On the level of society, it's a catastrophic maladaptation.

The problem for normal people is to discern between "fearmongering" and honest warnings by competent people who actually know and understand the situation.

Diederich 21 minutes ago

Very good, thank you.

dzink an hour ago

“The panic pays and monetizes well - people share it to warn their friends, spread your message, lots of people comment in fear and raise algorithm engagement, and they paralyze thinking they are helpless.” Said the cowboy to the other cowboy as they scared the herd into their fenced yard.

MissAnnThrope 14 minutes ago

No. Humans have been entering this period gradually from the start. It started with them destroying habitats from non-human living beings during ancient times. Ancient humans wars destroyed this planet's ecosystem. Now, we've got unhinged capitalism and greedy brats that demand too much on a planet with limited resources. A war economy is not sustainable in the long run, either. Without humans, this planet would go back to having life thrive a lot more. Humans are the only ones ruining this planet. Other species would be fine without humans existing.

ck2 6 minutes ago

well based on the newest data you won't have to worry about anything else after 2050

https://tbsky.app/profile/weatherprof.bsky.social/post/3mxvy...

mediumdeviation 2 hours ago

Havoc 37 minutes ago

Not sure what the point of that was?

World is on fire so join whatever the hell Open Media Network is?

thinkingemote an hour ago

The omnicrisis

gaiagraphia 2 hours ago

Is it just me, or are the amount of hashtags quite jarring in the piece?

>But any one with any sense can see there is no #stupidindividualism exit from #climatechaos. There is no technological #dotcons platform that allows us to escape social relationships.

GaryBluto 2 hours ago

The whole thing reads like a bizarre, vaguely schizotypal manifesto, complete with it's own confusing form eccentricities.

I checked the "hashtags" link and was met with the following: "Hashtags are a critique and a rallying cry to gather round. They are the protest banners of the openweb"

Nothing says protest banner of the "openweb"(?) like a convention invented by Twitter.

jerlam an hour ago

Sometimes it's hard to tell if a well-formatted blog is popular or it's just a single person screaming into the void. We don't have pageview counters anymore.

I didn't see any comments on this page, nor did the linked Mastodon accounts have much engagement, and that suggests the latter.

Also, both the number of and length of posts started increasing dramatically in 2024, which might just be a strange coincidence.

Terr_ 2 hours ago

Or IRC channels.

GaryBluto 2 hours ago

baron3dl an hour ago

when i got to the second hashtag, i scanned the following paragraphs, saw it's littered with them, and just hit the back button.

#'s are for signaling root access, and bash comments.

edit: and also IRC channels.

grebc 2 hours ago

I had trouble reading it because they kept drawing my eyes to them, so I stopped.

throwaway23597 an hour ago

"It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine" - REM, 1987

The world has always been in overlapping crises, the only difference now is that it's constantly blared into your face by your pocket screen. Ignorance is bliss. Delete the news, buy index funds, and relax.

0xbadcafebee an hour ago

So in other words, people who were watching cartoons 30 years ago now think that the world didn't have multiple simultaneous crises, until they now happen to be adult enough to pay attention/care.

- 1970s: multiple oil crises, war in the middle east, iranian revolution

- 1980s: latin american debt crisis, soviet-afghan war, ethiopian famine

- 1990s: collapse of USSR, yugoslavian war, bosnian genocide, ethiopian genocide, asian financial crisis

- 2000s: dot-com bubble burst, darfur genocide, african food crisis, global financial crisis (due to US housing bubble burst)

avrionov 22 minutes ago

1980s had the "Intifada" which is another name for a war in the middle east.

longitudinal93 2 hours ago

"Then on the left the is a matching fantasy, we romanticism collapse, but it is not automatically progressive."

Should be "romanticise" rather than "romanticism".

WaltPurvis 2 hours ago

That's only one of the misspellings or incorrect words in this fairly short post. There are also numerous grammatical errors. Perhaps it's intentional, to show it wasn't written by AI, but I think more likely it's just sloppy and rushed. (The thinking in the piece seems as sloppy and rushed as the writing.)

nh23423fefe 2 hours ago

Literally full of spelling errors and omitted words and subject verb disagreement and awkward phrasing. To say nothing of the trash logic. Verified human everyone!