Sixteen Years After Deepwater Horizon, Deep Sea Life Shows Few Signs of Recovery (e360.yale.edu)

106 points by speckx 6 hours ago

jsbisviewtiful 3 hours ago

It’s truly exhausting to know the damage we’ve done to the ecosystem and how many bad actors only concerned with profit are out there preventing it from happening again.

tristanj 3 hours ago

No, they are definitely terrified about it happening again. Deepwater Horizon cost BP nearly $70 billion total in direct financial payouts, including $20 billion in fines. $140 billion if you include total financial cost to BP. This is an enormous amount of money, even for a large corporation such as BP. BP suspended their dividend because of the spill.

That's a massive amount of money that could have went to paying shareholders, and that's why they don't want it happening again.

jsbisviewtiful 18 minutes ago

Just about every week there’s news of some kind of ecosystem damage by another negligent company that streams into my RSS feed.

Related, but the American gov recently invaded a country to take its oil while simultaneously shutting down funding for green energy projects. Exhausting.

nilamo an hour ago

It wasn't enormous enough in fines, since they're still in business and capable of doing it again, and again surviving such fines.

missedthecue 21 minutes ago

asdff 43 minutes ago

usefulcat an hour ago

> $140 billion if you include total financial cost to BP.

That's more than their current market cap ($127B), and the stock price right now is not that far from where it was just before the spill ($49 now, around $59 just prior to the spill).

I'm just curious how that was accomplished, given that it would not have been a great time for them to be borrowing or issuing new shares, for obvious reasons. Maybe if it was spread out over like 10 years it could be more doable, but still that seems like a lot.

ojame 10 minutes ago

missedthecue 11 minutes ago

zdragnar 10 minutes ago

RankingMember 3 hours ago

The most galling/depressing thing to me is that our population is so overwhelming that if even just 1% of us are bad actors, that's still so many that catastrophes like this (environmental and otherwise) become mathematically inevitable.

asdff 39 minutes ago

It isn't so much that 1% can even do this though. What can I or you possibly do that can wreak havoc on this scale? We cannot pull the sufficient levers. We don't have authority. We don't have actual power.

But the real danger is that we have given certain members of our species superhuman abilities to unilaterally make decisions, where these then go on to cause harm on a scale that would never be possible as just 1% of our species operating within the scope of what 1% of our species can reach with their two hands. We've creating living gods essentially. We've even created nonliving gods: pools of capital people are beholden to grow that they themselves do not even own or control, but are enslaved to them nonetheless. Decisions are what is good for the nonliving god: what grows the money pile in the quarterly time frame, not what is good for our species or even what is truly individually good for the people believing themselves to have any control over these pools of capital.

IncreasePosts 2 hours ago

Would people stop burning oil if there weren't people out there concerned with profit?

rexpop 2 hours ago

Yes. Not immediately—firstly, because the finite speed of light in a vacuum precludes simultaneity—but eventually, when relieved of rent-seeking intermediaries, we'd be free to invest in sustainable infrastructure.

its_ethan an hour ago

giantg2 2 hours ago

"It’s truly exhausting to know the damage we’ve done to the ecosystem and how many bad actors only concerned with profit are out there preventing it from happening again."

Because most people don't want to know. Cognitive dissonance keeps many people from realizing the inconvenient truth that modern life requires accidents like this. We have stats or projections about how many people earth can support, but none about how many people it can sustainably support. People want their plastic items and cars to be cheap, even if it results in occasional accidents of this scale (not to mention the minor accidents that occur frequently and don't make the news).

bill_joy_fanboy 21 minutes ago

You said something interesting: "... modern life requires accidents like this."

This is a completely baseless claim. It is entirely possible to have both a technologically advanced civilization and simultaneously one that doesn't have catastrophic industrial mistakes like this.

atomic_cattlepr 12 minutes ago

darth_avocado 2 hours ago

> While researchers stopped short of concluding that the oil spill had caused the declines

Why though? Why are we so afraid of accountability? Because this is what people point to when trying to deny things are true: ThErE iS NO EviDeNce, sHoW Me THe StUdY, etc. etc.

arjie an hour ago

I read the source

> Available evidence rules out natural phenomena as likely drivers, suggesting a large-scale pollution event and its associated mitigation measures most likely precipitated the declines...That the declines began shortly after the Deepwater Horizon oil spill points to that event as the most parsimonious explanation. These findings suggest that despite its immense size the deep-pelagic biome is vulnerable to human-induced disturbance and possesses limited resilience to facilitate recovery.

This means "the oil spill caused the declines". That is what this means in English.

rcoveson 2 hours ago

I think you're reading the wrong motivation into this and reaching the wrong conclusion.

This behavior, being skeptical and precise, is the very thing that makes scientists more trustworthy than the average Joe with his motivated reasoning.

I'm confident that the people working on this would have made the causal claim if they had been able to collect enough data to support it. They may well be working on gathering data to support the causal claim right now.

bobson381 43 minutes ago

This technically useful skepticism can be weaponized against you by a rhetorical opponent by just pointing out that you "refuse to say for certain". All you have to do is say "some scientists believe there is some uncertainty" and you can convince a crowd to stop listening. Scientific communication works very poorly as mass communication.

dghlsakjg an hour ago

Scientists are - rightfully - reluctant to assign causal relationships when the data does not support it.

Scientists should not change the scientific method so morons can continue to ignore or cherrypick their studies.

slibhb 2 hours ago

Because they're scientists and not activists.

adjejmxbdjdn an hour ago

And both are needed.

Humans don’t operate at a scientific level in our day to day.

Politicians need to make decisions about the economy with little to no data, and the legal system convicts people at a much lower standard than that science requires us to meet.

And we run our lives at an incredibly lower standard than what science needs to maintain.

It’s fairly easy to see that the Deep Horizon incident should have easily met any of those non science standards (it may have possibly fallen short of the legal standard), to actually enact changes in terms of regulations, or punishment.

Unfortunately, on one side you have an indifferent public that largely depends on activists that it maligns to protect its interests, and on the other side you have billion dollar industries that can buy out the decision makers.

hisfraudulency 2 hours ago

Interesting that the spill hasn't dampened long term prospects for offshore drilling (besides the brief push against it around 2016) whereas Chernobyl basically nerfed American nuclear power gen.

bonesss 2 hours ago

Oil drilling helps oil companies.

Nuclear power threatens oil companies.

We used to talk about replacing transportation fuels and low-carbon shipping (global energy). Now we talk about personal responsibility and rooftop solar (residential electricity). You can find oil company PR slide decks explaining why and how. Greenwashing worked, pushing the renewable ‘debate’ worked. We missed the windows on critical infrastructure change, and seemingly enjoy an unstable chunk of desert dictating global energy, inflation & food prices. <shrug>

SoftTalker an hour ago

We're replacing ICE cars with EVs. Sales are rising every year.

For long distance heavy transport, alternative fuels or battery-electric is not feasible yet.

The transition will take decades.

micromacrofoot 2 minutes ago

The American economy didn't yet rely on nuclear power, we're long deep into oil brain.

gambiting 2 hours ago

I'd argue that Three Mile Island was more impactful to American hesitation towards nuclear energy than Chernobyl ever was. By the time Chernobyl happened American nuclear industry was already in a massive panic over TMI

hisfraudulency 2 hours ago

TMI hadn't even entered my mind while typing out that comment which just goes to show how political the historiography of this stuff is.

SoftTalker an hour ago

downrightmike an hour ago

There are so many open wells left behind from the 50's on. The federal gov't pays to fix them, but they can't do anywhere what they need to do. They should charge the fees upfront with drilling permits

causesothere 2 hours ago

And the companies are also struggling to recover, right? Because the damage to the company is commensurate with the damage to the environment it works within?

No? The companies are largely free from consequence?

Maybe our system is a bit broken.

gambiting 2 hours ago

As another comment pointed out - total cost to BP over this is somewhere in excess of $140BN. It's hardly "free of consequence".

Guid_NewGuid 2 hours ago

gambiting 2 hours ago

testing22321 9 minutes ago

There are plenty of beaches near Valdez, Alaska where you can scratch away beach sand and have black oil on your hands.

That was 1989, 37 years ago.

After years of appeals that the $5 Billion they were ordered to pay was excessive, they paid a whopping $507 Million in 2009.

superxpro12 an hour ago

The Deepwater disaster recovery very effectively demonstrated the phenomenon of "out of sight out of mind". they dumped almost 2 million gallons of "dispersants" on the oil spill... which was DESIGNED to make the oil heavier than water and sink to the sea bed. it never dissolved anything, it just hid the problem from the public. and all that oil is just sitting on the sea bed.

MaxHoppersGhost 3 hours ago

What a crappy article. It talks about the 60% decline right after the spill but doesn’t quantify the recovery or lack thereof.

frmersdog 3 hours ago

Didn't they dump tons and tons of chemicals to break up the oil spill, rather than spending the time and money to actually clean it up?

rafterydj 3 hours ago

Not antagonizing but curious: how else would you do it?

positr0n 2 hours ago

I'm not an expert and it's been a long time, but I recall reading articles at the time that they were dumping chemicals in the ocean that basically bound to the oil to split it apart and make it sink. Out of sight out of mind.

The implication was they could have contained it at the surface, sucked it up and treated it to remove oil from the water.

dotancohen 2 hours ago

SoftTalker an hour ago

superxpro12 an hour ago

break it up? no. it just made the oil heavy enough to sink. it's all still there, just at the bottom of the ocean now

aksss 3 hours ago

Those aren’t mutually exclusive - time and money were spent to dump tons of dispersants in an effort to actually clean it up. This comes after the Exxon Valdez spill where it was learned that hot water and high pressure hoses to clean areas did more damage than good - the untouched beaches recovered faster via natural breakdown than the beaches that were cleaned. In deepwater, they skipped the scrubbing and cleaning and emphasized dispersants (y’know, solution to pollution being dilution) and it probably hurt the ecosystem more than letting natural enzymes and such take care of it. The bottom line is that every major oil spill clean up effort is an experiment. But sometimes the instinct to “do something” causes more harm than good. Would the public tolerate an “all natural” approach or a light touch of beach cleaning? Probably not, even though there’s good reason to think the ecosystem (exclusive of human needs) may be better served by that.

dotancohen an hour ago

How about taking the full "do nothing" approach and leave the carbon under the seabed? Where it won't trap IR from escaping the atmosphere and adding energy to the atmosphere, driving ever-more energetic weather events.